Arkansas Issue 1, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment, appears on the November 3, 2026, general election ballot after passing the state House 82-6 and Senate 27-0 in April 2025. The measure would explicitly state that only U.S. citizens meeting existing elector qualifications may vote in state or local elections, reinforcing the current constitutional requirement while blocking any future local expansions to noncitizens. Sponsors highlighted examples from other jurisdictions that have considered noncitizen voting. In a state where Republicans hold supermajorities and citizenship requirements already align with federal law, the measure faces no major reported opposition or polling challenges one month before the vote. Traders assign the high probability of passage to this structural advantage and the limited scope of change.