**Beatriz Mojica Morga holds the clearest edge in the Guerrero gubernatorial race as the leading Morena contender for the 2027 election.** Recent internal party surveys, including an Enkoll poll for El Universal, show her with roughly 37% support among Morena voters—about 10 points ahead of Félix Salgado Macedonio and well clear of other aspirants—while broader preference measurements place her 20 points ahead of the field. She stepped back from her Senate seat to pursue the nomination, consolidating support within the party that has dominated recent state contests. The market remains competitive because the outcome hinges on Morena’s internal selection process, which is still unfolding, and a fragmented opposition that has yet to coalesce. Lower-priced names such as Esthela Damián Peralta, Guadalupe Eguiluz, and Pablo Amílcar Sandoval reflect limited polling traction and weaker organizational backing at this stage. Any shift in party unity, late endorsements, or emergence of a stronger cross-party challenger could narrow Mojica’s implied probability before the general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBeatriz Mojica Morga 54.0%
Esthela Damián Peralta 18.6%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros 10%
Genaro Vázquez Flores 8.1%
$15,510 Vol.
$15,510 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
54%
Esthela Damián Peralta
19%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
10%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
8%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
8%
Mario Moreno Arcos
5%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
2%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
2%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 54.0%
Esthela Damián Peralta 18.6%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros 10%
Genaro Vázquez Flores 8.1%
$15,510 Vol.
$15,510 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
54%
Esthela Damián Peralta
19%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
10%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
8%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
8%
Mario Moreno Arcos
5%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
2%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
2%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Beatriz Mojica Morga holds the clearest edge in the Guerrero gubernatorial race as the leading Morena contender for the 2027 election.** Recent internal party surveys, including an Enkoll poll for El Universal, show her with roughly 37% support among Morena voters—about 10 points ahead of Félix Salgado Macedonio and well clear of other aspirants—while broader preference measurements place her 20 points ahead of the field. She stepped back from her Senate seat to pursue the nomination, consolidating support within the party that has dominated recent state contests. The market remains competitive because the outcome hinges on Morena’s internal selection process, which is still unfolding, and a fragmented opposition that has yet to coalesce. Lower-priced names such as Esthela Damián Peralta, Guadalupe Eguiluz, and Pablo Amílcar Sandoval reflect limited polling traction and weaker organizational backing at this stage. Any shift in party unity, late endorsements, or emergence of a stronger cross-party challenger could narrow Mojica’s implied probability before the general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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