Forecast uncertainty around cloud cover and precipitation is the main driver keeping Chengdu's June 21 high-temperature market odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show light rain or thundershowers possible that day due to East Asian monsoon moisture surging into the Sichuan basin, which would suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance diverges on timing and intensity of these showers, producing the spread in outcomes traders are pricing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, but persistent humidity and basin topography amplify sensitivity to even modest rainfall changes. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 21?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 21?
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 19%
29°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Jun 21, 2026
25°C or below
14%
26°C
19%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
15%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 19%
29°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Jun 21, 2026
25°C or below
$816 Vol.
14%
26°C
$626 Vol.
19%
27°C
$812 Vol.
28%
28°C
$379 Vol.
24%
29°C
$40 Vol.
15%
30°C
$99 Vol.
7%
31°C
$321 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,958 Vol.
1%
33°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$446 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty around cloud cover and precipitation is the main driver keeping Chengdu's June 21 high-temperature market odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show light rain or thundershowers possible that day due to East Asian monsoon moisture surging into the Sichuan basin, which would suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance diverges on timing and intensity of these showers, producing the spread in outcomes traders are pricing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, but persistent humidity and basin topography amplify sensitivity to even modest rainfall changes. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$6,098Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty around cloud cover and precipitation is the main driver keeping Chengdu's June 21 high-temperature market odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show light rain or thundershowers possible that day due to East Asian monsoon moisture surging into the Sichuan basin, which would suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance diverges on timing and intensity of these showers, producing the spread in outcomes traders are pricing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, but persistent humidity and basin topography amplify sensitivity to even modest rainfall changes. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,098Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty around cloud cover and precipitation is the main driver keeping Chengdu's June 21 high-temperature market odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C. Recent model runs show light rain or thundershowers possible that day due to East Asian monsoon moisture surging into the Sichuan basin, which would suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance diverges on timing and intensity of these showers, producing the spread in outcomes traders are pricing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, but persistent humidity and basin topography amplify sensitivity to even modest rainfall changes. Updated short-range model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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