Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and numerical models point to highs near 79–84°F for New York City on June 21, 2026, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 82–85°F as the most probable range. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions dominated by a stable high-pressure pattern and near-maximum solar insolation at the summer solstice, supporting modest daytime heating without strong warm-air advection. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew point profiles, and any residual cloud cover explain the near-even split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F outcomes, while lower probabilities for 88°F+ reflect the low likelihood of significant amplification from regional flow. Traders are weighting official guidance showing conditions close to or slightly above the June normal of 81°F, with limited upside from climatological analogs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on June 21?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 21?
84-85°F 34%
82-83°F 33%
86-87°F 9%
80-81°F 6.0%
BARU
BARU
Jun 21, 2026
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 34%
82-83°F 33%
86-87°F 9%
80-81°F 6.0%
BARU
BARU
Jun 21, 2026
77°F or below
$10 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$119 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$351 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$130 Vol.
33%
84-85°F
$218 Vol.
34%
86-87°F
$95 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$129 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$418 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$313 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$50 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and numerical models point to highs near 79–84°F for New York City on June 21, 2026, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 82–85°F as the most probable range. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions dominated by a stable high-pressure pattern and near-maximum solar insolation at the summer solstice, supporting modest daytime heating without strong warm-air advection. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew point profiles, and any residual cloud cover explain the near-even split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F outcomes, while lower probabilities for 88°F+ reflect the low likelihood of significant amplification from regional flow. Traders are weighting official guidance showing conditions close to or slightly above the June normal of 81°F, with limited upside from climatological analogs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 19, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,882Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 19, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and numerical models point to highs near 79–84°F for New York City on June 21, 2026, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 82–85°F as the most probable range. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions dominated by a stable high-pressure pattern and near-maximum solar insolation at the summer solstice, supporting modest daytime heating without strong warm-air advection. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew point profiles, and any residual cloud cover explain the near-even split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F outcomes, while lower probabilities for 88°F+ reflect the low likelihood of significant amplification from regional flow. Traders are weighting official guidance showing conditions close to or slightly above the June normal of 81°F, with limited upside from climatological analogs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,882Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 19, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and numerical models point to highs near 79–84°F for New York City on June 21, 2026, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 82–85°F as the most probable range. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions dominated by a stable high-pressure pattern and near-maximum solar insolation at the summer solstice, supporting modest daytime heating without strong warm-air advection. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew point profiles, and any residual cloud cover explain the near-even split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F outcomes, while lower probabilities for 88°F+ reflect the low likelihood of significant amplification from regional flow. Traders are weighting official guidance showing conditions close to or slightly above the June normal of 81°F, with limited upside from climatological analogs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan