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icon for Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
Politik·UK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

icon for Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
Politik·UK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

Zack Polanski 24%

Sagal Abdi-Wali 24%

Georgia Gould 24%

Adam Harrison 9%

Polymarket
BARU

Zack Polanski 24%

Sagal Abdi-Wali 24%

Georgia Gould 24%

Adam Harrison 9%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Zack Polanski

Zack Polanski

$604 Vol.

49%

icon for Sagal Abdi-Wali

Sagal Abdi-Wali

$118 Vol.

24%

icon for Georgia Gould

Georgia Gould

$60 Vol.

24%

icon for Adam Harrison

Adam Harrison

$60 Vol.

9%

icon for Sarah Hayward

Sarah Hayward

$60 Vol.

9%

icon for Lorna Jane Russell

Lorna Jane Russell

$60 Vol.

8%

icon for Pat Callaghan

Pat Callaghan

$60 Vol.

6%

icon for Hamza Chowdhury

Hamza Chowdhury

$80 Vol.

24%

icon for Luisa Porritt

Luisa Porritt

$60 Vol.

6%

icon for James White

James White

$60 Vol.

6%

icon for Keith Moffitt

Keith Moffitt

$60 Vol.

6%

icon for Richard Olszewski

Richard Olszewski

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for David Roberts

David Roberts

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for Oliver Cooper

Oliver Cooper

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for Tricia Leman

Tricia Leman

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for David Stansell

David Stansell

$60 Vol.

4%

icon for Sarah Pochin

Sarah Pochin

$60 Vol.

3%

icon for Jim Monahan

Jim Monahan

$60 Vol.

3%

icon for Mehreen Malik

Mehreen Malik

$60 Vol.

26%

icon for Charlie Clinton

Charlie Clinton

$60 Vol.

1%

icon for Siân Berry

Siân Berry

$47 Vol.

28%

icon for Gio Spinella

Gio Spinella

$60 Vol.

29%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election whose timing remains unclear pending the writ. With Labour’s candidate selection process only just opening and no nominees yet confirmed, trader pricing on Polymarket fragments across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, independents, and others. Local results showing Green strength in the 2026 Camden elections and the 18.9% independent share from 2024 keep multiple outcomes competitive. The absence of a confirmed field, the constituency’s progressive profile, and the risk of vote splitting among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities until nominations close and clearer signals emerge on frontrunners and turnout dynamics.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$1,930
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election whose timing remains unclear pending the writ. With Labour’s candidate selection process only just opening and no nominees yet confirmed, trader pricing on Polymarket fragments across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, independents, and others. Local results showing Green strength in the 2026 Camden elections and the 18.9% independent share from 2024 keep multiple outcomes competitive. The absence of a confirmed field, the constituency’s progressive profile, and the risk of vote splitting among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities until nominations close and clearer signals emerge on frontrunners and turnout dynamics.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$1,930
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 22 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Zack Polanski" di 49%, diikuti oleh "Gio Spinella" di 29%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 49¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 49% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 1, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner," jelajahi 22 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" adalah "Zack Polanski" di 49%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 49% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Gio Spinella" di 29%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.