SpaceX leads trader sentiment at 56% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its record June pricing at a $1.77 trillion valuation after raising $74.4 billion—the biggest debut ever—reflecting robust demand for its Starlink, launch, and integrated AI operations following the xAI merger. Anthropic sits close behind at 42%, supported by its June confidential filing, a $65 billion Series H round valuing it near $1 trillion, and expectations of a fall listing that could challenge or exceed SpaceX's benchmark amid strong AI infrastructure spending. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its pre-merger momentum but have been diluted by integration. Other candidates remain below 0.3% due to delayed timelines, lower private valuations, and limited recent catalysts relative to these frontrunners.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIPO terbesar berdasarkan kapitalisasi pasar pada tahun 2026?
IPO terbesar berdasarkan kapitalisasi pasar pada tahun 2026?
SpaceX 56%
Anthropic 42.4%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,430,389 Vol.
$5,430,389 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
56%
Anthropic
42%
OpenAI
<1%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 56%
Anthropic 42.4%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,430,389 Vol.
$5,430,389 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
$746,860 Vol.
56%
Anthropic
$787,146 Vol.
42%
OpenAI
$477,743 Vol.
<1%
Discord
$176,728 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$208,392 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$129,177 Vol.
<1%
Kraken
$655,953 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$581,615 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$316,150 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$633,436 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$104,136 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$613,055 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX leads trader sentiment at 56% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its record June pricing at a $1.77 trillion valuation after raising $74.4 billion—the biggest debut ever—reflecting robust demand for its Starlink, launch, and integrated AI operations following the xAI merger. Anthropic sits close behind at 42%, supported by its June confidential filing, a $65 billion Series H round valuing it near $1 trillion, and expectations of a fall listing that could challenge or exceed SpaceX's benchmark amid strong AI infrastructure spending. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its pre-merger momentum but have been diluted by integration. Other candidates remain below 0.3% due to delayed timelines, lower private valuations, and limited recent catalysts relative to these frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$5,430,389Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX leads trader sentiment at 56% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its record June pricing at a $1.77 trillion valuation after raising $74.4 billion—the biggest debut ever—reflecting robust demand for its Starlink, launch, and integrated AI operations following the xAI merger. Anthropic sits close behind at 42%, supported by its June confidential filing, a $65 billion Series H round valuing it near $1 trillion, and expectations of a fall listing that could challenge or exceed SpaceX's benchmark amid strong AI infrastructure spending. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its pre-merger momentum but have been diluted by integration. Other candidates remain below 0.3% due to delayed timelines, lower private valuations, and limited recent catalysts relative to these frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$5,430,389Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX leads trader sentiment at 56% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its record June pricing at a $1.77 trillion valuation after raising $74.4 billion—the biggest debut ever—reflecting robust demand for its Starlink, launch, and integrated AI operations following the xAI merger. Anthropic sits close behind at 42%, supported by its June confidential filing, a $65 billion Series H round valuing it near $1 trillion, and expectations of a fall listing that could challenge or exceed SpaceX's benchmark amid strong AI infrastructure spending. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its pre-merger momentum but have been diluted by integration. Other candidates remain below 0.3% due to delayed timelines, lower private valuations, and limited recent catalysts relative to these frontrunners.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan