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Olahraga·MLB

MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

icon for MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs
Olahraga·MLB

MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

$30,536 Vol.

Oct 11, 2026
Polymarket

$30,536 Vol.

Polymarket

Yordan Alvarez

$1,319 Vol.

86%

Matt Olson

$1,579 Vol.

79%

Junior Caminero

$2,153 Vol.

65%

Hunter Goodman

$2,449 Vol.

67%

Kazuma Okamoto

$0 Vol.

49%

Munetaka Murakami

$543 Vol.

24%

Pete Alonso

$122 Vol.

11%

Shohei Ohtani

$1,205 Vol.

17%

Jordan Walker

$597 Vol.

12%

Colson Montgomery

$1,026 Vol.

9%

Brandon Lowe

$1,893 Vol.

7%

Dillon Dingler

$3,284 Vol.

7%

Bryce Harper

$390 Vol.

7%

Byron Buxton

$2,357 Vol.

7%

Miguel Vargas

$120 Vol.

7%

Wilson Contreras

$399 Vol.

6%

Manny Machado

$242 Vol.

6%

$130 Vol.

5%

James Wood

$1,525 Vol.

4%

$0 Vol.

4%

CJ Abrams

$1,530 Vol.

3%

Aaron Judge

$1,773 Vol.

2%

Ketel Marte

$393 Vol.

2%

Nick Kurtz

$263 Vol.

2%

Christian Walker

$390 Vol.

2%

Juan Soto

$360 Vol.

1%

Mike Trout

$681 Vol.

1%

Shea Langeliers

$2,432 Vol.

1%

Ben Rice

$317 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber reached 40 home runs first in 2026 on August 26, giving the Phillies slugger his fourth such season and establishing a clear early leader with Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez at 36-37. Schwarber’s combination of elite barrel rates, consistent fly-ball authority, and favorable home park has sustained his power output despite a modest batting average, while recent hot streaks—including a three-homer game by Pete Crow-Armstrong—highlight broader depth among power hitters. With roughly a month remaining, the combination of favorable matchups, rest advantages for top sluggers, and continued health for stars like Ohtani and Alvarez keeps multiple candidates in position to join or surpass the mark. Trader consensus reflects the high likelihood of at least one 40-homer season given current paces and historical precedents for late surges.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,536
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.mlb.com

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber reached 40 home runs first in 2026 on August 26, giving the Phillies slugger his fourth such season and establishing a clear early leader with Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez at 36-37. Schwarber’s combination of elite barrel rates, consistent fly-ball authority, and favorable home park has sustained his power output despite a modest batting average, while recent hot streaks—including a three-homer game by Pete Crow-Armstrong—highlight broader depth among power hitters. With roughly a month remaining, the combination of favorable matchups, rest advantages for top sluggers, and continued health for stars like Ohtani and Alvarez keeps multiple candidates in position to join or surpass the mark. Trader consensus reflects the high likelihood of at least one 40-homer season given current paces and historical precedents for late surges.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,536
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.mlb.com

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 30 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Kyle Schwarber" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Yordan Alvarez" di 86%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" telah menghasilkan $30.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 2, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs," jelajahi 30 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" adalah "Kyle Schwarber" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Yordan Alvarez" di 86%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.