OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, currently holds the top spot on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark with 51.7% on Tiers 1-3—expert-level math problems spanning advanced undergraduate to early research challenges—edging out GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, amid rapid scaling in chain-of-thought reasoning capabilities. Trader sentiment hinges on a May 11 Epoch AI announcement pausing leaderboard updates after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tiers 1-4 problems, with human review confirming most flags valid; corrected scores could elevate implied probabilities for high thresholds like 60% by June 30. Competitive pressure mounts from Google DeepMind's AI Co-Mathematician (47.9% Tier 4 with extended compute), while upcoming model releases or demos remain key catalysts before resolution on the official Tier 1-3 leaderboard.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$34,665 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
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$34,665 Vol.
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$24,917 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, currently holds the top spot on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark with 51.7% on Tiers 1-3—expert-level math problems spanning advanced undergraduate to early research challenges—edging out GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, amid rapid scaling in chain-of-thought reasoning capabilities. Trader sentiment hinges on a May 11 Epoch AI announcement pausing leaderboard updates after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tiers 1-4 problems, with human review confirming most flags valid; corrected scores could elevate implied probabilities for high thresholds like 60% by June 30. Competitive pressure mounts from Google DeepMind's AI Co-Mathematician (47.9% Tier 4 with extended compute), while upcoming model releases or demos remain key catalysts before resolution on the official Tier 1-3 leaderboard.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$34,665Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, currently holds the top spot on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark with 51.7% on Tiers 1-3—expert-level math problems spanning advanced undergraduate to early research challenges—edging out GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, amid rapid scaling in chain-of-thought reasoning capabilities. Trader sentiment hinges on a May 11 Epoch AI announcement pausing leaderboard updates after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tiers 1-4 problems, with human review confirming most flags valid; corrected scores could elevate implied probabilities for high thresholds like 60% by June 30. Competitive pressure mounts from Google DeepMind's AI Co-Mathematician (47.9% Tier 4 with extended compute), while upcoming model releases or demos remain key catalysts before resolution on the official Tier 1-3 leaderboard.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$34,665Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, currently holds the top spot on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark with 51.7% on Tiers 1-3—expert-level math problems spanning advanced undergraduate to early research challenges—edging out GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, amid rapid scaling in chain-of-thought reasoning capabilities. Trader sentiment hinges on a May 11 Epoch AI announcement pausing leaderboard updates after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tiers 1-4 problems, with human review confirming most flags valid; corrected scores could elevate implied probabilities for high thresholds like 60% by June 30. Competitive pressure mounts from Google DeepMind's AI Co-Mathematician (47.9% Tier 4 with extended compute), while upcoming model releases or demos remain key catalysts before resolution on the official Tier 1-3 leaderboard.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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