Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability that Anthropic will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026, propelled by fresh reports of Anthropic's early-stage talks for a $30 billion funding round at $900 billion to $950 billion post-money—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31 megaround. Secondary market share trades already imply a $1 trillion valuation for Anthropic, underpinned by its annualized revenue run rate surpassing $30 billion, outstripping OpenAI amid robust enterprise adoption of Claude AI models and strategic compute investments. Key catalysts include potential round closure by late May and sustained AI sector fervor, though OpenAI's consumer dominance tempers absolute certainty.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$57,168 Vol.
$57,168 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$57,168 Vol.
$57,168 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability that Anthropic will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026, propelled by fresh reports of Anthropic's early-stage talks for a $30 billion funding round at $900 billion to $950 billion post-money—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31 megaround. Secondary market share trades already imply a $1 trillion valuation for Anthropic, underpinned by its annualized revenue run rate surpassing $30 billion, outstripping OpenAI amid robust enterprise adoption of Claude AI models and strategic compute investments. Key catalysts include potential round closure by late May and sustained AI sector fervor, though OpenAI's consumer dominance tempers absolute certainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Volume
$57,168Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability that Anthropic will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026, propelled by fresh reports of Anthropic's early-stage talks for a $30 billion funding round at $900 billion to $950 billion post-money—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31 megaround. Secondary market share trades already imply a $1 trillion valuation for Anthropic, underpinned by its annualized revenue run rate surpassing $30 billion, outstripping OpenAI amid robust enterprise adoption of Claude AI models and strategic compute investments. Key catalysts include potential round closure by late May and sustained AI sector fervor, though OpenAI's consumer dominance tempers absolute certainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$57,168Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability that Anthropic will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026, propelled by fresh reports of Anthropic's early-stage talks for a $30 billion funding round at $900 billion to $950 billion post-money—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31 megaround. Secondary market share trades already imply a $1 trillion valuation for Anthropic, underpinned by its annualized revenue run rate surpassing $30 billion, outstripping OpenAI amid robust enterprise adoption of Claude AI models and strategic compute investments. Key catalysts include potential round closure by late May and sustained AI sector fervor, though OpenAI's consumer dominance tempers absolute certainty.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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