Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 36.5% implied probability, driven by the AI lab's explosive private valuation trajectory—reaching $380 billion post-money in a $30 billion Series G round in February 2026, with reports of a potential $50 billion raise targeting $900 billion. Massive compute deals with Amazon, Google ($40 billion commitment), SpaceX, and xAI bolster growth expectations for Claude large language models amid intensifying AI competition with OpenAI. No S-1 filing yet, but March reports of weighing an October IPO and recent warnings against unapproved secondary share sales signal preparation, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks keep lower brackets like 1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) viable and "no IPO by 2027" at 13.5%. Watch for Q3 announcements or filings as key catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui1.8T+ 37%
1.2–1.5T 16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
1.5–1.8T 13%
$46,231 Vol.
$46,231 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
5%
0.9–1.2T
11%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
13%
1.8T+
37%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.8T+ 37%
1.2–1.5T 16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
1.5–1.8T 13%
$46,231 Vol.
$46,231 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
$3,442 Vol.
4%
0.6–0.9T
$7,164 Vol.
5%
0.9–1.2T
$6,108 Vol.
11%
1.2–1.5T
$5,185 Vol.
16%
1.5–1.8T
$5,471 Vol.
13%
1.8T+
$11,487 Vol.
37%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$7,373 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 36.5% implied probability, driven by the AI lab's explosive private valuation trajectory—reaching $380 billion post-money in a $30 billion Series G round in February 2026, with reports of a potential $50 billion raise targeting $900 billion. Massive compute deals with Amazon, Google ($40 billion commitment), SpaceX, and xAI bolster growth expectations for Claude large language models amid intensifying AI competition with OpenAI. No S-1 filing yet, but March reports of weighing an October IPO and recent warnings against unapproved secondary share sales signal preparation, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks keep lower brackets like 1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) viable and "no IPO by 2027" at 13.5%. Watch for Q3 announcements or filings as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$46,231Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 36.5% implied probability, driven by the AI lab's explosive private valuation trajectory—reaching $380 billion post-money in a $30 billion Series G round in February 2026, with reports of a potential $50 billion raise targeting $900 billion. Massive compute deals with Amazon, Google ($40 billion commitment), SpaceX, and xAI bolster growth expectations for Claude large language models amid intensifying AI competition with OpenAI. No S-1 filing yet, but March reports of weighing an October IPO and recent warnings against unapproved secondary share sales signal preparation, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks keep lower brackets like 1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) viable and "no IPO by 2027" at 13.5%. Watch for Q3 announcements or filings as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$46,231Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 36.5% implied probability, driven by the AI lab's explosive private valuation trajectory—reaching $380 billion post-money in a $30 billion Series G round in February 2026, with reports of a potential $50 billion raise targeting $900 billion. Massive compute deals with Amazon, Google ($40 billion commitment), SpaceX, and xAI bolster growth expectations for Claude large language models amid intensifying AI competition with OpenAI. No S-1 filing yet, but March reports of weighing an October IPO and recent warnings against unapproved secondary share sales signal preparation, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks keep lower brackets like 1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) viable and "no IPO by 2027" at 13.5%. Watch for Q3 announcements or filings as key catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan