Recent Alphabet earnings highlighted 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion in Q2 2026, with Google Cloud surging 82% on AI infrastructure demand, supporting trader optimism for accelerated expansion through year-end. Current market capitalization near $4.4 trillion reflects this momentum, yet elevated 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion and EU Digital Markets Act mandates opening Android and search features to rivals introduce margin and competitive pressures. These factors create tight contention between the $6 trillion-plus outcome (45.5% market-implied odds) and the $4.50–5.00 trillion bin (42.0%), with Q3 results and AI monetization trends as key swing catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$4.50-$5.00T 45%
$3.50-$4.00T 42%
$5.00-$5.50T 27%
$5.50-$6.00T 25%
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.50T
22%
$3.50-$4.00T
42%
$4.00-$4.50T
24%
$4.50-$5.00T
45%
$5.00-$5.50T
27%
$5.50-$6.00T
25%
$6.00T+
46%
$4.50-$5.00T 45%
$3.50-$4.00T 42%
$5.00-$5.50T 27%
$5.50-$6.00T 25%
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.50T
$132 Vol.
22%
$3.50-$4.00T
$0 Vol.
42%
$4.00-$4.50T
$0 Vol.
24%
$4.50-$5.00T
$0 Vol.
45%
$5.00-$5.50T
$0 Vol.
27%
$5.50-$6.00T
$0 Vol.
25%
$6.00T+
$20 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent Alphabet earnings highlighted 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion in Q2 2026, with Google Cloud surging 82% on AI infrastructure demand, supporting trader optimism for accelerated expansion through year-end. Current market capitalization near $4.4 trillion reflects this momentum, yet elevated 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion and EU Digital Markets Act mandates opening Android and search features to rivals introduce margin and competitive pressures. These factors create tight contention between the $6 trillion-plus outcome (45.5% market-implied odds) and the $4.50–5.00 trillion bin (42.0%), with Q3 results and AI monetization trends as key swing catalysts.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ET
Volume
$152Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent Alphabet earnings highlighted 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion in Q2 2026, with Google Cloud surging 82% on AI infrastructure demand, supporting trader optimism for accelerated expansion through year-end. Current market capitalization near $4.4 trillion reflects this momentum, yet elevated 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion and EU Digital Markets Act mandates opening Android and search features to rivals introduce margin and competitive pressures. These factors create tight contention between the $6 trillion-plus outcome (45.5% market-implied odds) and the $4.50–5.00 trillion bin (42.0%), with Q3 results and AI monetization trends as key swing catalysts.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$152Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Alphabet earnings highlighted 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion in Q2 2026, with Google Cloud surging 82% on AI infrastructure demand, supporting trader optimism for accelerated expansion through year-end. Current market capitalization near $4.4 trillion reflects this momentum, yet elevated 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion and EU Digital Markets Act mandates opening Android and search features to rivals introduce margin and competitive pressures. These factors create tight contention between the $6 trillion-plus outcome (45.5% market-implied odds) and the $4.50–5.00 trillion bin (42.0%), with Q3 results and AI monetization trends as key swing catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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