Amazon's market capitalization at the end of 2026 reflects closely matched trader sentiment, with the $2.50–$3.00 trillion range at 23.5% implied probability edging the $3.00–$3.50 trillion bucket at 20.5%. This tight contest highlights uncertainty over AWS revenue growth, e-commerce margin expansion, and advertising contributions amid competitive cloud pressures and shifting consumer spending patterns. Recent quarterly results and analyst revisions on forward estimates serve as primary catalysts, while upcoming earnings releases and broader equity market multiples will likely drive further repricing. The distribution captures aggregated capital at risk assessing valuation sustainability through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$2.50-$3.00T 24%
$3.00-$3.50T 21%
$3.50-$4.00T 10%
$2.00-$2.50T 8%
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.00T
6%
$2.00-$2.50T
8%
$2.50-$3.00T
24%
$3.00-$3.50T
21%
$3.50-$4.00T
10%
$4.00-$4.50T
4%
$4.50T+
6%
$2.50-$3.00T 24%
$3.00-$3.50T 21%
$3.50-$4.00T 10%
$2.00-$2.50T 8%
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.00T
$141 Vol.
6%
$2.00-$2.50T
$125 Vol.
8%
$2.50-$3.00T
$455 Vol.
24%
$3.00-$3.50T
$121 Vol.
21%
$3.50-$4.00T
$146 Vol.
10%
$4.00-$4.50T
$125 Vol.
4%
$4.50T+
$130 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon's market capitalization at the end of 2026 reflects closely matched trader sentiment, with the $2.50–$3.00 trillion range at 23.5% implied probability edging the $3.00–$3.50 trillion bucket at 20.5%. This tight contest highlights uncertainty over AWS revenue growth, e-commerce margin expansion, and advertising contributions amid competitive cloud pressures and shifting consumer spending patterns. Recent quarterly results and analyst revisions on forward estimates serve as primary catalysts, while upcoming earnings releases and broader equity market multiples will likely drive further repricing. The distribution captures aggregated capital at risk assessing valuation sustainability through year-end.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Volume
$1,242Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon's market capitalization at the end of 2026 reflects closely matched trader sentiment, with the $2.50–$3.00 trillion range at 23.5% implied probability edging the $3.00–$3.50 trillion bucket at 20.5%. This tight contest highlights uncertainty over AWS revenue growth, e-commerce margin expansion, and advertising contributions amid competitive cloud pressures and shifting consumer spending patterns. Recent quarterly results and analyst revisions on forward estimates serve as primary catalysts, while upcoming earnings releases and broader equity market multiples will likely drive further repricing. The distribution captures aggregated capital at risk assessing valuation sustainability through year-end.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$1,242Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amazon's market capitalization at the end of 2026 reflects closely matched trader sentiment, with the $2.50–$3.00 trillion range at 23.5% implied probability edging the $3.00–$3.50 trillion bucket at 20.5%. This tight contest highlights uncertainty over AWS revenue growth, e-commerce margin expansion, and advertising contributions amid competitive cloud pressures and shifting consumer spending patterns. Recent quarterly results and analyst revisions on forward estimates serve as primary catalysts, while upcoming earnings releases and broader equity market multiples will likely drive further repricing. The distribution captures aggregated capital at risk assessing valuation sustainability through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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