OpenAI's rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, anchored by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand exceeding 40% of sales, underpins trader consensus around elevated IPO valuations. The company's March 2026 $122 billion funding round established an $852 billion post-money valuation, with confidential SEC filing in May 2026 and banker engagements signaling readiness for a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut targeting $1 trillion or higher. Market-implied odds favor the 1.5T+ bracket at 40.5% as AI sector multiples and growth benchmarks support premium pricing, though 9.1% probability on no IPO by end-2027 reflects timing risks amid competitive pressures and profitability challenges. Upcoming catalysts include further earnings visibility and regulatory clarity on AI governance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui1.5T+ 40.4%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
750B–1T 10%
$104,708 Vol.
$104,708 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
2%
750B–1T
10%
1T–1.25T
18%
1.25T–1.5T
20%
1.5T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
9%
1.5T+ 40.4%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
750B–1T 10%
$104,708 Vol.
$104,708 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$8,050 Vol.
1%
500–750B
$9,889 Vol.
2%
750B–1T
$10,725 Vol.
10%
1T–1.25T
$15,107 Vol.
18%
1.25T–1.5T
$10,346 Vol.
20%
1.5T+
$27,941 Vol.
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$22,650 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, anchored by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand exceeding 40% of sales, underpins trader consensus around elevated IPO valuations. The company's March 2026 $122 billion funding round established an $852 billion post-money valuation, with confidential SEC filing in May 2026 and banker engagements signaling readiness for a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut targeting $1 trillion or higher. Market-implied odds favor the 1.5T+ bracket at 40.5% as AI sector multiples and growth benchmarks support premium pricing, though 9.1% probability on no IPO by end-2027 reflects timing risks amid competitive pressures and profitability challenges. Upcoming catalysts include further earnings visibility and regulatory clarity on AI governance.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$104,708Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, anchored by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand exceeding 40% of sales, underpins trader consensus around elevated IPO valuations. The company's March 2026 $122 billion funding round established an $852 billion post-money valuation, with confidential SEC filing in May 2026 and banker engagements signaling readiness for a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut targeting $1 trillion or higher. Market-implied odds favor the 1.5T+ bracket at 40.5% as AI sector multiples and growth benchmarks support premium pricing, though 9.1% probability on no IPO by end-2027 reflects timing risks amid competitive pressures and profitability challenges. Upcoming catalysts include further earnings visibility and regulatory clarity on AI governance.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$104,708Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, anchored by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand exceeding 40% of sales, underpins trader consensus around elevated IPO valuations. The company's March 2026 $122 billion funding round established an $852 billion post-money valuation, with confidential SEC filing in May 2026 and banker engagements signaling readiness for a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut targeting $1 trillion or higher. Market-implied odds favor the 1.5T+ bracket at 40.5% as AI sector multiples and growth benchmarks support premium pricing, though 9.1% probability on no IPO by end-2027 reflects timing risks amid competitive pressures and profitability challenges. Upcoming catalysts include further earnings visibility and regulatory clarity on AI governance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan