OpenAI's March 2026 close of a $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation has anchored trader sentiment around a blockbuster IPO expected as early as Q4 2026, driving the 68.8% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. Strong demand from major technology investors, combined with projected revenue growth from ChatGPT and enterprise AI services, supports expectations that the company will command premium pricing at listing despite ongoing losses exceeding $10 billion annually. Recent reports of missed internal targets have introduced modest uncertainty, reflected in the 23% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, yet the absence of regulatory or structural delays keeps the path to a high-valuation debut the dominant scenario priced by real-money markets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui1.5T+ 67.9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 20%
1T–1.25T 9%
750B–1T 8%
$16,670 Vol.
$16,670 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
2%
500–750B
3%
750B–1T
8%
1T–1.25T
26%
1.25T–1.5T
7%
1.5T+
68%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
20%
1.5T+ 67.9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 20%
1T–1.25T 9%
750B–1T 8%
$16,670 Vol.
$16,670 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$164 Vol.
2%
500–750B
$333 Vol.
3%
750B–1T
$467 Vol.
8%
1T–1.25T
$3,243 Vol.
26%
1.25T–1.5T
$523 Vol.
7%
1.5T+
$478 Vol.
68%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$11,561 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's March 2026 close of a $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation has anchored trader sentiment around a blockbuster IPO expected as early as Q4 2026, driving the 68.8% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. Strong demand from major technology investors, combined with projected revenue growth from ChatGPT and enterprise AI services, supports expectations that the company will command premium pricing at listing despite ongoing losses exceeding $10 billion annually. Recent reports of missed internal targets have introduced modest uncertainty, reflected in the 23% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, yet the absence of regulatory or structural delays keeps the path to a high-valuation debut the dominant scenario priced by real-money markets.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$16,670Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's March 2026 close of a $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation has anchored trader sentiment around a blockbuster IPO expected as early as Q4 2026, driving the 68.8% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. Strong demand from major technology investors, combined with projected revenue growth from ChatGPT and enterprise AI services, supports expectations that the company will command premium pricing at listing despite ongoing losses exceeding $10 billion annually. Recent reports of missed internal targets have introduced modest uncertainty, reflected in the 23% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, yet the absence of regulatory or structural delays keeps the path to a high-valuation debut the dominant scenario priced by real-money markets.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$16,670Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's March 2026 close of a $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation has anchored trader sentiment around a blockbuster IPO expected as early as Q4 2026, driving the 68.8% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. Strong demand from major technology investors, combined with projected revenue growth from ChatGPT and enterprise AI services, supports expectations that the company will command premium pricing at listing despite ongoing losses exceeding $10 billion annually. Recent reports of missed internal targets have introduced modest uncertainty, reflected in the 23% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, yet the absence of regulatory or structural delays keeps the path to a high-valuation debut the dominant scenario priced by real-money markets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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