Anthropic's rapid private-market ascent to a $965 billion post-money valuation following its $65 billion Series H round in late May underpins trader sentiment for an IPO closing market capitalization, with the closely contested $1.25–1.5 trillion bin at 22.5% reflecting expectations of further multiple expansion amid surging AI demand. Revenue momentum—projected near $11 billion in Q2 2026—combined with confidential SEC filing on June 1 and the race against OpenAI to list as soon as fall 2026, supports implied odds clustering in the $1–2 trillion range. Key swing factors include equity market conditions, comparable tech valuations, and any revisions to growth forecasts between filing and pricing. The negligible 0.7% probability of no IPO by end-2027 underscores strong consensus on a near-term public debut.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1.25–$1.5T 23%
<$1.25T 18%
$1.5–$1.75T 15.2%
$1.75–$2.0T 15%
$40,872 Vol.
$40,872 Vol.
<$1.25T
18%
$1.25–$1.5T
23%
$1.5–$1.75T
15%
$1.75–$2.0T
15%
$2.0–$2.25T
6%
$2.25–$2.5T
11%
$2.5–$2.75T
3%
$2.75–$3.0T
6%
$3.0T+
11%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$1.25–$1.5T 23%
<$1.25T 18%
$1.5–$1.75T 15.2%
$1.75–$2.0T 15%
$40,872 Vol.
$40,872 Vol.
<$1.25T
18%
$1.25–$1.5T
23%
$1.5–$1.75T
15%
$1.75–$2.0T
15%
$2.0–$2.25T
6%
$2.25–$2.5T
11%
$2.5–$2.75T
3%
$2.75–$3.0T
6%
$3.0T+
11%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's rapid private-market ascent to a $965 billion post-money valuation following its $65 billion Series H round in late May underpins trader sentiment for an IPO closing market capitalization, with the closely contested $1.25–1.5 trillion bin at 22.5% reflecting expectations of further multiple expansion amid surging AI demand. Revenue momentum—projected near $11 billion in Q2 2026—combined with confidential SEC filing on June 1 and the race against OpenAI to list as soon as fall 2026, supports implied odds clustering in the $1–2 trillion range. Key swing factors include equity market conditions, comparable tech valuations, and any revisions to growth forecasts between filing and pricing. The negligible 0.7% probability of no IPO by end-2027 underscores strong consensus on a near-term public debut.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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