Recent model releases in July 2026, including OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5, and Moonshot’s Kimi K3, have driven sharp gains on live coding arenas and agentic benchmarks such as SWE-Bench Verified and frontend WebDev tasks. These updates emphasize multi-step reasoning, tool use, and long-horizon workflows, with Kimi K3 briefly topping blind human-voted arenas ahead of closed models and open-weight entries like DeepSeek V4 closing gaps on established leaderboards. Trader sentiment reflects continued rapid iteration across labs, though progress on harder private-repo or complex agentic subsets remains uneven. Key catalysts through year-end include expected follow-on releases, further scaling of reasoning chains, and potential benchmark refreshes that could shift the frontier before December 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$183,585 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1560
44%
1580
21%
1600
17%
$183,585 Vol.
1560
$88,748 Vol.
44%
1580
$63,141 Vol.
21%
1600
$31,697 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent model releases in July 2026, including OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5, and Moonshot’s Kimi K3, have driven sharp gains on live coding arenas and agentic benchmarks such as SWE-Bench Verified and frontend WebDev tasks. These updates emphasize multi-step reasoning, tool use, and long-horizon workflows, with Kimi K3 briefly topping blind human-voted arenas ahead of closed models and open-weight entries like DeepSeek V4 closing gaps on established leaderboards. Trader sentiment reflects continued rapid iteration across labs, though progress on harder private-repo or complex agentic subsets remains uneven. Key catalysts through year-end include expected follow-on releases, further scaling of reasoning chains, and potential benchmark refreshes that could shift the frontier before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Volume
$183,585Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent model releases in July 2026, including OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5, and Moonshot’s Kimi K3, have driven sharp gains on live coding arenas and agentic benchmarks such as SWE-Bench Verified and frontend WebDev tasks. These updates emphasize multi-step reasoning, tool use, and long-horizon workflows, with Kimi K3 briefly topping blind human-voted arenas ahead of closed models and open-weight entries like DeepSeek V4 closing gaps on established leaderboards. Trader sentiment reflects continued rapid iteration across labs, though progress on harder private-repo or complex agentic subsets remains uneven. Key catalysts through year-end include expected follow-on releases, further scaling of reasoning chains, and potential benchmark refreshes that could shift the frontier before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$183,585Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent model releases in July 2026, including OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5, and Moonshot’s Kimi K3, have driven sharp gains on live coding arenas and agentic benchmarks such as SWE-Bench Verified and frontend WebDev tasks. These updates emphasize multi-step reasoning, tool use, and long-horizon workflows, with Kimi K3 briefly topping blind human-voted arenas ahead of closed models and open-weight entries like DeepSeek V4 closing gaps on established leaderboards. Trader sentiment reflects continued rapid iteration across labs, though progress on harder private-repo or complex agentic subsets remains uneven. Key catalysts through year-end include expected follow-on releases, further scaling of reasoning chains, and potential benchmark refreshes that could shift the frontier before December 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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