OpenAI’s launch of GPT-6 Astra on September 3–4, 2026, after a brief safety-related delay following the earlier GPT-5.6 family, has sharply clarified trader expectations around the “GPT Astra 6.1+” resolution. The model’s rollout began with limited Daybreak enterprise partners and quickly expanded to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise users plus the API and AWS, delivering state-of-the-art results on computer-use benchmarks such as OSWorld 2.0 and ARC-AGI-3 while emphasizing agentic workflows, browser control, and restricted cybersecurity tasks. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude and Google’s Gemini, combined with OpenAI president Greg Brockman’s public framing of the “AGI era,” has reinforced market consensus that the release meets or exceeds the 6.1 threshold under OpenAI’s branding. Upcoming catalysts include full API availability and any Pro-tier variant expansion that could further influence resolution criteria.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBARU
Oct 31, 2026
October 31
29%
December 31
73%
$1 Vol.
October 31
$0 Vol.
29%
December 31
$1 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s launch of GPT-6 Astra on September 3–4, 2026, after a brief safety-related delay following the earlier GPT-5.6 family, has sharply clarified trader expectations around the “GPT Astra 6.1+” resolution. The model’s rollout began with limited Daybreak enterprise partners and quickly expanded to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise users plus the API and AWS, delivering state-of-the-art results on computer-use benchmarks such as OSWorld 2.0 and ARC-AGI-3 while emphasizing agentic workflows, browser control, and restricted cybersecurity tasks. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude and Google’s Gemini, combined with OpenAI president Greg Brockman’s public framing of the “AGI era,” has reinforced market consensus that the release meets or exceeds the 6.1 threshold under OpenAI’s branding. Upcoming catalysts include full API availability and any Pro-tier variant expansion that could further influence resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$1Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s launch of GPT-6 Astra on September 3–4, 2026, after a brief safety-related delay following the earlier GPT-5.6 family, has sharply clarified trader expectations around the “GPT Astra 6.1+” resolution. The model’s rollout began with limited Daybreak enterprise partners and quickly expanded to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise users plus the API and AWS, delivering state-of-the-art results on computer-use benchmarks such as OSWorld 2.0 and ARC-AGI-3 while emphasizing agentic workflows, browser control, and restricted cybersecurity tasks. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude and Google’s Gemini, combined with OpenAI president Greg Brockman’s public framing of the “AGI era,” has reinforced market consensus that the release meets or exceeds the 6.1 threshold under OpenAI’s branding. Upcoming catalysts include full API availability and any Pro-tier variant expansion that could further influence resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s launch of GPT-6 Astra on September 3–4, 2026, after a brief safety-related delay following the earlier GPT-5.6 family, has sharply clarified trader expectations around the “GPT Astra 6.1+” resolution. The model’s rollout began with limited Daybreak enterprise partners and quickly expanded to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise users plus the API and AWS, delivering state-of-the-art results on computer-use benchmarks such as OSWorld 2.0 and ARC-AGI-3 while emphasizing agentic workflows, browser control, and restricted cybersecurity tasks. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude and Google’s Gemini, combined with OpenAI president Greg Brockman’s public framing of the “AGI era,” has reinforced market consensus that the release meets or exceeds the 6.1 threshold under OpenAI’s branding. Upcoming catalysts include full API availability and any Pro-tier variant expansion that could further influence resolution criteria.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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