Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price with gains on coding and agentic benchmarks like Frontier-Bench. This followed Sonnet 5 in June and preceded the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Credible rumors now point to an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with historical 3–8 week gaps between tier updates. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus ongoing safety classifier refinements, shapes expectations for timing and capabilities. Key near-term catalysts include any official Anthropic announcements or API listings that could resolve markets quickly.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$125,969 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
81%
September 17
15%
September 20
32%
September 24
60%
September 27
57%
October 31
98%
December 31
98%
$125,969 Vol.
September 30
$61,465 Vol.
81%
September 17
$2,720 Vol.
15%
September 20
$909 Vol.
32%
September 24
$586 Vol.
60%
September 27
$126 Vol.
57%
October 31
$13,502 Vol.
98%
December 31
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price with gains on coding and agentic benchmarks like Frontier-Bench. This followed Sonnet 5 in June and preceded the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Credible rumors now point to an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with historical 3–8 week gaps between tier updates. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus ongoing safety classifier refinements, shapes expectations for timing and capabilities. Key near-term catalysts include any official Anthropic announcements or API listings that could resolve markets quickly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$125,969Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price with gains on coding and agentic benchmarks like Frontier-Bench. This followed Sonnet 5 in June and preceded the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Credible rumors now point to an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with historical 3–8 week gaps between tier updates. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus ongoing safety classifier refinements, shapes expectations for timing and capabilities. Key near-term catalysts include any official Anthropic announcements or API listings that could resolve markets quickly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$125,969Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price with gains on coding and agentic benchmarks like Frontier-Bench. This followed Sonnet 5 in June and preceded the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Credible rumors now point to an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with historical 3–8 week gaps between tier updates. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus ongoing safety classifier refinements, shapes expectations for timing and capabilities. Key near-term catalysts include any official Anthropic announcements or API listings that could resolve markets quickly.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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