Anthropic’s rapid private-market ascent, capped by a $65 billion Series H round in May 2026 at a $965 billion post-money valuation, underpins the 95.8% implied probability for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap. Traders see the company’s $47 billion run-rate revenue, expanding enterprise adoption of Claude models, and compute partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others as evidence that an autumn 2026 listing—already in preparation with major underwriters—will command a public valuation well into the trillions. The slim 3% chance assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects this momentum. Market volatility, regulatory scrutiny of large AI listings, or unexpected delays in SEC filings could still compress the outcome, though current consensus views those risks as remote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui600B+ 95.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.0%
400–600B <1%
300–400B <1%
$420,582 Vol.
$420,582 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
96%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
600B+ 95.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.0%
400–600B <1%
300–400B <1%
$420,582 Vol.
$420,582 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$156,438 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$72,886 Vol.
<1%
200–300B
$19,764 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$69,792 Vol.
<1%
400–600B
$22,147 Vol.
1%
600B+
$46,283 Vol.
96%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$33,273 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid private-market ascent, capped by a $65 billion Series H round in May 2026 at a $965 billion post-money valuation, underpins the 95.8% implied probability for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap. Traders see the company’s $47 billion run-rate revenue, expanding enterprise adoption of Claude models, and compute partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others as evidence that an autumn 2026 listing—already in preparation with major underwriters—will command a public valuation well into the trillions. The slim 3% chance assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects this momentum. Market volatility, regulatory scrutiny of large AI listings, or unexpected delays in SEC filings could still compress the outcome, though current consensus views those risks as remote.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$420,582Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid private-market ascent, capped by a $65 billion Series H round in May 2026 at a $965 billion post-money valuation, underpins the 95.8% implied probability for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap. Traders see the company’s $47 billion run-rate revenue, expanding enterprise adoption of Claude models, and compute partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others as evidence that an autumn 2026 listing—already in preparation with major underwriters—will command a public valuation well into the trillions. The slim 3% chance assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects this momentum. Market volatility, regulatory scrutiny of large AI listings, or unexpected delays in SEC filings could still compress the outcome, though current consensus views those risks as remote.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$420,582Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s rapid private-market ascent, capped by a $65 billion Series H round in May 2026 at a $965 billion post-money valuation, underpins the 95.8% implied probability for a 600B+ IPO closing market cap. Traders see the company’s $47 billion run-rate revenue, expanding enterprise adoption of Claude models, and compute partnerships with Amazon, Google, and others as evidence that an autumn 2026 listing—already in preparation with major underwriters—will command a public valuation well into the trillions. The slim 3% chance assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects this momentum. Market volatility, regulatory scrutiny of large AI listings, or unexpected delays in SEC filings could still compress the outcome, though current consensus views those risks as remote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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