Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, paired with run-rate revenue surging past $47 billion and a 14-fold year-over-year jump in Q2 revenue, anchors the 95.6% implied probability on a 600B+ closing market cap. The confidential S-1 filing on June 1 and ongoing investor meetings point to a potential fall 2026 listing, with backers modeling annualized revenue reaching $100–120 billion by year-end amid strong Claude model adoption. This trajectory, building on successive large raises and frontier AI positioning, underpins trader consensus for a high-double-digit or low-triple-digit billion outcome. Market volatility, slower enterprise uptake, or regulatory scrutiny on AI deployments could still compress realized valuation below the private mark.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui600B+ 95.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.0%
400–600B <1%
300–400B <1%
$420,582 Vol.
$420,582 Vol.
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
96%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
600B+ 95.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.0%
400–600B <1%
300–400B <1%
$420,582 Vol.
$420,582 Vol.
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
96%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, paired with run-rate revenue surging past $47 billion and a 14-fold year-over-year jump in Q2 revenue, anchors the 95.6% implied probability on a 600B+ closing market cap. The confidential S-1 filing on June 1 and ongoing investor meetings point to a potential fall 2026 listing, with backers modeling annualized revenue reaching $100–120 billion by year-end amid strong Claude model adoption. This trajectory, building on successive large raises and frontier AI positioning, underpins trader consensus for a high-double-digit or low-triple-digit billion outcome. Market volatility, slower enterprise uptake, or regulatory scrutiny on AI deployments could still compress realized valuation below the private mark.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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