Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 and secondary-market valuations clustered near $8–8.5 billion anchor trader sentiment, producing closely matched implied probabilities of 24.5% for an 8–11 billion closing market cap and 21.9% for no IPO by December 31, 2027. Revenue expansion to roughly $550–600 million annualized, combined with ongoing monetization efforts, supports the mid-single-digit billion range, yet persistent regulatory review backlogs and subdued equity-market conditions for growth names raise the odds of further delay or cancellation. Secondary trading levels, historical precedent from the 2021 $15 billion peak, and potential catalysts such as an eventual public filing or macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite continue to shape the narrow spread across valuation buckets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui8–11B 25%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 22.0%
<5B 16%
20B+ 14.9%
$30,531 Vol.
$30,531 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
16%
5–8B
11%
8–11B
25%
11–14B
6%
14–17B
3%
17–20B
7%
20B+
15%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
22%
8–11B 25%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 22.0%
<5B 16%
20B+ 14.9%
$30,531 Vol.
$30,531 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
$2,291 Vol.
16%
5–8B
$3,457 Vol.
11%
8–11B
$11,343 Vol.
25%
11–14B
$2,545 Vol.
6%
14–17B
$1,583 Vol.
3%
17–20B
$4,183 Vol.
7%
20B+
$1,610 Vol.
15%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$3,521 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 and secondary-market valuations clustered near $8–8.5 billion anchor trader sentiment, producing closely matched implied probabilities of 24.5% for an 8–11 billion closing market cap and 21.9% for no IPO by December 31, 2027. Revenue expansion to roughly $550–600 million annualized, combined with ongoing monetization efforts, supports the mid-single-digit billion range, yet persistent regulatory review backlogs and subdued equity-market conditions for growth names raise the odds of further delay or cancellation. Secondary trading levels, historical precedent from the 2021 $15 billion peak, and potential catalysts such as an eventual public filing or macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite continue to shape the narrow spread across valuation buckets.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$30,531Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 and secondary-market valuations clustered near $8–8.5 billion anchor trader sentiment, producing closely matched implied probabilities of 24.5% for an 8–11 billion closing market cap and 21.9% for no IPO by December 31, 2027. Revenue expansion to roughly $550–600 million annualized, combined with ongoing monetization efforts, supports the mid-single-digit billion range, yet persistent regulatory review backlogs and subdued equity-market conditions for growth names raise the odds of further delay or cancellation. Secondary trading levels, historical precedent from the 2021 $15 billion peak, and potential catalysts such as an eventual public filing or macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite continue to shape the narrow spread across valuation buckets.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$30,531Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 and secondary-market valuations clustered near $8–8.5 billion anchor trader sentiment, producing closely matched implied probabilities of 24.5% for an 8–11 billion closing market cap and 21.9% for no IPO by December 31, 2027. Revenue expansion to roughly $550–600 million annualized, combined with ongoing monetization efforts, supports the mid-single-digit billion range, yet persistent regulatory review backlogs and subdued equity-market conditions for growth names raise the odds of further delay or cancellation. Secondary trading levels, historical precedent from the 2021 $15 billion peak, and potential catalysts such as an eventual public filing or macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite continue to shape the narrow spread across valuation buckets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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