OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation set the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Revenue has reached a $2 billion monthly run rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent and growing rapidly, yet the company continues to post substantial losses and is not projected to reach profitability before 2029–2030. CEO Sam Altman has pressed advisers for a $1 trillion-plus debut valuation, while recent reporting indicates the company is now leaning toward a 2027 listing rather than a fourth-quarter 2026 debut. Market-implied odds for the closing market cap will therefore hinge on prevailing tech-sector multiples, comparable AI IPOs such as Anthropic, Treasury yields, and any updates to OpenAI’s growth trajectory or capital needs ahead of the offering.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1,517,929 Vol.
$1,517,929 Vol.
$800 miliar
89%
$1T
76%
$1,2T
61%
$1,4T
45%
$1,6T
40%
$1,517,929 Vol.
$1,517,929 Vol.
$800 miliar
89%
$1T
76%
$1,2T
61%
$1,4T
45%
$1,6T
40%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation set the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Revenue has reached a $2 billion monthly run rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent and growing rapidly, yet the company continues to post substantial losses and is not projected to reach profitability before 2029–2030. CEO Sam Altman has pressed advisers for a $1 trillion-plus debut valuation, while recent reporting indicates the company is now leaning toward a 2027 listing rather than a fourth-quarter 2026 debut. Market-implied odds for the closing market cap will therefore hinge on prevailing tech-sector multiples, comparable AI IPOs such as Anthropic, Treasury yields, and any updates to OpenAI’s growth trajectory or capital needs ahead of the offering.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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