Recent U.S. inflation data, including the April 2026 Producer Price Index rising 6% year-over-year amid Middle East tensions, has reinforced expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain a higher-for-longer policy stance, pushing real yields higher and weighing on non-yielding gold. Spot prices have retreated below $4,650 per ounce as traders price in reduced near-term rate-cut probabilities. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical uncertainty continue to provide structural support, while analyst forecasts from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs target levels near $4,900–$5,000 by December 2026. Key upcoming releases on CPI, labor market conditions, and the next FOMC meeting will shape the balance between inflation-driven rate expectations and safe-haven demand.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhat will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
$291,659 Vol.
↑ $15,000
4%
↑ $12,000
5%
↑ $10,000
6%
↑ $8,000
7%
↑ $7,000
12%
↑ $6,000
30%
$291,659 Vol.
↑ $15,000
4%
↑ $12,000
5%
↑ $10,000
6%
↑ $8,000
7%
↑ $7,000
12%
↑ $6,000
30%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. inflation data, including the April 2026 Producer Price Index rising 6% year-over-year amid Middle East tensions, has reinforced expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain a higher-for-longer policy stance, pushing real yields higher and weighing on non-yielding gold. Spot prices have retreated below $4,650 per ounce as traders price in reduced near-term rate-cut probabilities. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical uncertainty continue to provide structural support, while analyst forecasts from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs target levels near $4,900–$5,000 by December 2026. Key upcoming releases on CPI, labor market conditions, and the next FOMC meeting will shape the balance between inflation-driven rate expectations and safe-haven demand.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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