Stripe and private equity firm Advent International's July 2026 joint bid to acquire PayPal for roughly $53.4 billion was formally rejected by PayPal's board as undervaluing the company, with no subsequent deal progression or revised offers reported through mid-August. This stalled M&A process underpins the 76.1% market-implied probability of no 2026 acquisition, reflecting trader consensus on integration complexity, regulatory scrutiny for a major fintech combination, and Stripe's strong standalone position at a $159 billion valuation with robust payment volume growth. PayPal's slower revenue expansion and focus on independence further reduce near-term deal odds, though any renewed negotiations or earnings catalysts could shift sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui24% peluang
$80,482 Vol.
$80,482 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
24% peluang
$80,482 Vol.
$80,482 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stripe and private equity firm Advent International's July 2026 joint bid to acquire PayPal for roughly $53.4 billion was formally rejected by PayPal's board as undervaluing the company, with no subsequent deal progression or revised offers reported through mid-August. This stalled M&A process underpins the 76.1% market-implied probability of no 2026 acquisition, reflecting trader consensus on integration complexity, regulatory scrutiny for a major fintech combination, and Stripe's strong standalone position at a $159 billion valuation with robust payment volume growth. PayPal's slower revenue expansion and focus on independence further reduce near-term deal odds, though any renewed negotiations or earnings catalysts could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$80,482Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stripe and private equity firm Advent International's July 2026 joint bid to acquire PayPal for roughly $53.4 billion was formally rejected by PayPal's board as undervaluing the company, with no subsequent deal progression or revised offers reported through mid-August. This stalled M&A process underpins the 76.1% market-implied probability of no 2026 acquisition, reflecting trader consensus on integration complexity, regulatory scrutiny for a major fintech combination, and Stripe's strong standalone position at a $159 billion valuation with robust payment volume growth. PayPal's slower revenue expansion and focus on independence further reduce near-term deal odds, though any renewed negotiations or earnings catalysts could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,482Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stripe and private equity firm Advent International's July 2026 joint bid to acquire PayPal for roughly $53.4 billion was formally rejected by PayPal's board as undervaluing the company, with no subsequent deal progression or revised offers reported through mid-August. This stalled M&A process underpins the 76.1% market-implied probability of no 2026 acquisition, reflecting trader consensus on integration complexity, regulatory scrutiny for a major fintech combination, and Stripe's strong standalone position at a $159 billion valuation with robust payment volume growth. PayPal's slower revenue expansion and focus on independence further reduce near-term deal odds, though any renewed negotiations or earnings catalysts could shift sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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