Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.7% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official public offering announcement amid abundant private capital. Just days ago on May 12, Anthropic entered talks for a massive funding round targeting a $950 billion valuation—up from $380 billion in February's $30 billion Series G—signaling preference for staying private longer to fuel AI development like Claude models. Reports from March consistently point to a potential Q4 debut, as bankers prepare for a $60 billion raise, aligning with typical timelines for AI labs navigating regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. A surprise filing or accelerated roadshow could challenge this, though no such catalysts have emerged.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTidak IPO sebelum 30 Juni 2026 98.6%
600B+ <1%
300–400M <1%
400–600M <1%
$1,290,604 Vol.
$1,290,604 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100M
<1%
100–200M
<1%
200–300M
<1%
300–400M
<1%
400–600M
<1%
600B+
1%
Tidak IPO sebelum 30 Juni 2026
99%
Tidak IPO sebelum 30 Juni 2026 98.6%
600B+ <1%
300–400M <1%
400–600M <1%
$1,290,604 Vol.
$1,290,604 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100M
$259,357 Vol.
<1%
100–200M
$91,548 Vol.
<1%
200–300M
$147,181 Vol.
<1%
300–400M
$98,599 Vol.
<1%
400–600M
$160,874 Vol.
<1%
600B+
$285,097 Vol.
1%
Tidak IPO sebelum 30 Juni 2026
$247,949 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.7% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official public offering announcement amid abundant private capital. Just days ago on May 12, Anthropic entered talks for a massive funding round targeting a $950 billion valuation—up from $380 billion in February's $30 billion Series G—signaling preference for staying private longer to fuel AI development like Claude models. Reports from March consistently point to a potential Q4 debut, as bankers prepare for a $60 billion raise, aligning with typical timelines for AI labs navigating regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. A surprise filing or accelerated roadshow could challenge this, though no such catalysts have emerged.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,290,604Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.7% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official public offering announcement amid abundant private capital. Just days ago on May 12, Anthropic entered talks for a massive funding round targeting a $950 billion valuation—up from $380 billion in February's $30 billion Series G—signaling preference for staying private longer to fuel AI development like Claude models. Reports from March consistently point to a potential Q4 debut, as bankers prepare for a $60 billion raise, aligning with typical timelines for AI labs navigating regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. A surprise filing or accelerated roadshow could challenge this, though no such catalysts have emerged.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,290,604Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.7% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official public offering announcement amid abundant private capital. Just days ago on May 12, Anthropic entered talks for a massive funding round targeting a $950 billion valuation—up from $380 billion in February's $30 billion Series G—signaling preference for staying private longer to fuel AI development like Claude models. Reports from March consistently point to a potential Q4 debut, as bankers prepare for a $60 billion raise, aligning with typical timelines for AI labs navigating regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. A surprise filing or accelerated roadshow could challenge this, though no such catalysts have emerged.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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