**Trader sentiment for Claude Code commits by end of June centers on rapid adoption of Anthropic’s terminal-native coding agent, which now authors a growing share of public GitHub activity.** Recent launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 on June 9 have enhanced long-context reasoning, autonomous workflows via the /goal command, and multi-agent orchestration, directly increasing the agent’s ability to iterate, test, and commit code independently. As of mid-2026, Claude Code already accounts for roughly 4% of daily public commits industry-wide, with internal Anthropic data showing over 80% of merged code attributed to the model. This trajectory, combined with the Tokyo Code with Claude conference and ongoing agent feature rollouts, supports the market-implied 44% probability on the 750k+ bin. The June 15 billing shift separating programmatic/agent usage onto separate credits introduces near-term uncertainty around sustained volume, but current momentum from demonstrated productivity gains favors the higher ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui750.0k+ 44%
700.0-750.0k 15.1%
650.0-700.0k 12.8%
500.0-550.0k 12%
<500.0k
6%
500.0-550.0k
12%
550.0-600.0k
11%
600.0-650.0k
12%
650.0-700.0k
13%
700.0-750.0k
15%
750.0k+
44%
750.0k+ 44%
700.0-750.0k 15.1%
650.0-700.0k 12.8%
500.0-550.0k 12%
<500.0k
6%
500.0-550.0k
12%
550.0-600.0k
11%
600.0-650.0k
12%
650.0-700.0k
13%
700.0-750.0k
15%
750.0k+
44%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Pasar Dibuka: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Claude Code commits by end of June centers on rapid adoption of Anthropic’s terminal-native coding agent, which now authors a growing share of public GitHub activity.** Recent launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 on June 9 have enhanced long-context reasoning, autonomous workflows via the /goal command, and multi-agent orchestration, directly increasing the agent’s ability to iterate, test, and commit code independently. As of mid-2026, Claude Code already accounts for roughly 4% of daily public commits industry-wide, with internal Anthropic data showing over 80% of merged code attributed to the model. This trajectory, combined with the Tokyo Code with Claude conference and ongoing agent feature rollouts, supports the market-implied 44% probability on the 750k+ bin. The June 15 billing shift separating programmatic/agent usage onto separate credits introduces near-term uncertainty around sustained volume, but current momentum from demonstrated productivity gains favors the higher ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan