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icon for Claude Code Commits End of June?

Claude Code Commits End of June?

icon for Claude Code Commits End of June?

Claude Code Commits End of June?

750.0k+ 44%

700.0-750.0k 15.1%

650.0-700.0k 12.8%

500.0-550.0k 12%

Polymarket
BARU

750.0k+ 44%

700.0-750.0k 15.1%

650.0-700.0k 12.8%

500.0-550.0k 12%

Polymarket
BARU

<500.0k

$883 Vol.

6%

500.0-550.0k

$379 Vol.

12%

550.0-600.0k

$446 Vol.

11%

600.0-650.0k

$388 Vol.

12%

650.0-700.0k

$577 Vol.

13%

700.0-750.0k

$694 Vol.

15%

750.0k+

$651 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.**Trader sentiment for Claude Code commits by end of June centers on rapid adoption of Anthropic’s terminal-native coding agent, which now authors a growing share of public GitHub activity.** Recent launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 on June 9 have enhanced long-context reasoning, autonomous workflows via the /goal command, and multi-agent orchestration, directly increasing the agent’s ability to iterate, test, and commit code independently. As of mid-2026, Claude Code already accounts for roughly 4% of daily public commits industry-wide, with internal Anthropic data showing over 80% of merged code attributed to the model. This trajectory, combined with the Tokyo Code with Claude conference and ongoing agent feature rollouts, supports the market-implied 44% probability on the 750k+ bin. The June 15 billing shift separating programmatic/agent usage onto separate credits introduces near-term uncertainty around sustained volume, but current momentum from demonstrated productivity gains favors the higher ranges.

This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volume
$4,012
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.**Trader sentiment for Claude Code commits by end of June centers on rapid adoption of Anthropic’s terminal-native coding agent, which now authors a growing share of public GitHub activity.** Recent launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 on June 9 have enhanced long-context reasoning, autonomous workflows via the /goal command, and multi-agent orchestration, directly increasing the agent’s ability to iterate, test, and commit code independently. As of mid-2026, Claude Code already accounts for roughly 4% of daily public commits industry-wide, with internal Anthropic data showing over 80% of merged code attributed to the model. This trajectory, combined with the Tokyo Code with Claude conference and ongoing agent feature rollouts, supports the market-implied 44% probability on the 750k+ bin. The June 15 billing shift separating programmatic/agent usage onto separate credits introduces near-term uncertainty around sustained volume, but current momentum from demonstrated productivity gains favors the higher ranges.

This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volume
$4,012
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Claude Code Commits End of June?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "750.0k+" di 44%, diikuti oleh "700.0-750.0k" di 15%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 44¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 44% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Claude Code Commits End of June?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 26, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Claude Code Commits End of June?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Claude Code Commits End of June?" adalah "750.0k+" di 44%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 44% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "700.0-750.0k" di 15%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Claude Code Commits End of June?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.