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icon for Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

icon for Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$283,400 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$283,400 Vol.

Polymarket

45%+

$135,078 Vol.

18%

50%+

$1,999 Vol.

9%

55%+

$4,411 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Anthropic’s latest Claude iterations, including the Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview variants, currently lead or sit near the top of Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores ranging from 36% to 65% depending on evaluation settings and model configuration. This performance stems from recent scaling improvements in reasoning depth and multimodal handling on the 2,500-question benchmark spanning expert mathematics, sciences, and humanities, outpacing most OpenAI GPT-5 releases and Google Gemini models in direct comparisons. Competitive pressure from ongoing model updates by rival labs continues to drive rapid iteration, while the benchmark’s design as a saturation-resistant evaluation helps explain sustained trader focus on whether Anthropic can push Claude past key accuracy thresholds before the June 30 deadline. No major new releases have been confirmed for the immediate weeks ahead, leaving room for potential last-minute capability gains or evaluation adjustments to influence final outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$283,400
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Anthropic’s latest Claude iterations, including the Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview variants, currently lead or sit near the top of Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores ranging from 36% to 65% depending on evaluation settings and model configuration. This performance stems from recent scaling improvements in reasoning depth and multimodal handling on the 2,500-question benchmark spanning expert mathematics, sciences, and humanities, outpacing most OpenAI GPT-5 releases and Google Gemini models in direct comparisons. Competitive pressure from ongoing model updates by rival labs continues to drive rapid iteration, while the benchmark’s design as a saturation-resistant evaluation helps explain sustained trader focus on whether Anthropic can push Claude past key accuracy thresholds before the June 30 deadline. No major new releases have been confirmed for the immediate weeks ahead, leaving room for potential last-minute capability gains or evaluation adjustments to influence final outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$283,400
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "30%+" di 100%, diikuti oleh "35%+" di 100%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" telah menghasilkan $283.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 30, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" adalah "30%+" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "35%+" di 100%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.