Anthropic's recent releases of Claude Opus 4.7 and related agentic features have driven strong trader consensus, with the large language model demonstrating leading results on coding benchmarks like SWE-bench and extended task horizons that outpace competitors in practical developer workflows. Its focus on long-context reasoning, instruction following, and controlled outputs has positioned it ahead in competitive evaluations against models such as OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and Google's Gemini 3.1 series. With end-of-May resolution approaching, the 92.5% implied probability reflects this momentum from verified capability gains and enterprise adoption. However, a surprise benchmark lead or major update from Google or OpenAI in the final weeks could still shift outcomes, as AI performance evolves rapidly on new evaluations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 93%
Google 8%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$8,745,304 Vol.
$8,745,304 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
93%
8%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 93%
Google 8%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$8,745,304 Vol.
$8,745,304 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$636,856 Vol.
93%
$577,974 Vol.
8%
OpenAI
$728,030 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$543,290 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$513,934 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$515,426 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$659,000 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$518,378 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$557,139 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$475,917 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$470,637 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$403,756 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,421,640 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$311,909 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$412,851 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent releases of Claude Opus 4.7 and related agentic features have driven strong trader consensus, with the large language model demonstrating leading results on coding benchmarks like SWE-bench and extended task horizons that outpace competitors in practical developer workflows. Its focus on long-context reasoning, instruction following, and controlled outputs has positioned it ahead in competitive evaluations against models such as OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and Google's Gemini 3.1 series. With end-of-May resolution approaching, the 92.5% implied probability reflects this momentum from verified capability gains and enterprise adoption. However, a surprise benchmark lead or major update from Google or OpenAI in the final weeks could still shift outcomes, as AI performance evolves rapidly on new evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Volume
$8,745,304Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent releases of Claude Opus 4.7 and related agentic features have driven strong trader consensus, with the large language model demonstrating leading results on coding benchmarks like SWE-bench and extended task horizons that outpace competitors in practical developer workflows. Its focus on long-context reasoning, instruction following, and controlled outputs has positioned it ahead in competitive evaluations against models such as OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and Google's Gemini 3.1 series. With end-of-May resolution approaching, the 92.5% implied probability reflects this momentum from verified capability gains and enterprise adoption. However, a surprise benchmark lead or major update from Google or OpenAI in the final weeks could still shift outcomes, as AI performance evolves rapidly on new evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$8,745,304Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent releases of Claude Opus 4.7 and related agentic features have driven strong trader consensus, with the large language model demonstrating leading results on coding benchmarks like SWE-bench and extended task horizons that outpace competitors in practical developer workflows. Its focus on long-context reasoning, instruction following, and controlled outputs has positioned it ahead in competitive evaluations against models such as OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and Google's Gemini 3.1 series. With end-of-May resolution approaching, the 92.5% implied probability reflects this momentum from verified capability gains and enterprise adoption. However, a surprise benchmark lead or major update from Google or OpenAI in the final weeks could still shift outcomes, as AI performance evolves rapidly on new evaluations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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