Recent SpaceX draft IPO prospectus, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise for a potential June 2026 listing, anchors trader sentiment, with Polymarket's closely matched implied probabilities—32.5% for $2.0T-$2.5T and 23.5% for $1.5T-$2.0T—reflecting debate over hype versus execution risks. Starlink's explosive $15-16 billion 2025 revenue and $4.4 billion operating income, powering $20 billion+ capex on fully reusable Starship rockets and orbital AI data centers, solidify competitive dominance over Blue Origin and ULA through unmatched launch cadence and satellite constellation scale. Key swing factors include this week's expected S-1 filing details, Starship milestones, and broader market reception.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1,979,107 Vol.
$1,979,107 Vol.
<1,0T
5%
1,0T-1,5T
8%
$1,5T-$2,0T
24%
2,0T-2,5T
33%
2,5T-3,0T
18%
3,0T-3,5T
12%
3,5T+
2%
Tidak IPO sebelum 2028
2%
$1,979,107 Vol.
$1,979,107 Vol.
<1,0T
5%
1,0T-1,5T
8%
$1,5T-$2,0T
24%
2,0T-2,5T
33%
2,5T-3,0T
18%
3,0T-3,5T
12%
3,5T+
2%
Tidak IPO sebelum 2028
2%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent SpaceX draft IPO prospectus, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise for a potential June 2026 listing, anchors trader sentiment, with Polymarket's closely matched implied probabilities—32.5% for $2.0T-$2.5T and 23.5% for $1.5T-$2.0T—reflecting debate over hype versus execution risks. Starlink's explosive $15-16 billion 2025 revenue and $4.4 billion operating income, powering $20 billion+ capex on fully reusable Starship rockets and orbital AI data centers, solidify competitive dominance over Blue Origin and ULA through unmatched launch cadence and satellite constellation scale. Key swing factors include this week's expected S-1 filing details, Starship milestones, and broader market reception.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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