Trader consensus assigns OpenAI a 98% implied probability of recording the second-highest revenue among AI companies for the week of May 11-17, driven by its established streams from ChatGPT subscriptions and API usage that continue to expand with enterprise adoption. OpenAI’s large language models maintain leading user engagement and integration metrics relative to peers, supporting stable weekly inflows even as Google holds the top position through broader cloud and search contributions. Recent product updates and developer ecosystem growth have reinforced this trajectory. A material challenge could emerge only from an unanticipated spike in another firm’s reported AI-specific billings or a delayed revenue recognition event, though current industry patterns make such reversals unlikely before the week closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOpenAI 98.0%
Google 1.4%
MiniMax <1%
Anthropic <1%
$27,133 Vol.
$27,133 Vol.
OpenAI
98%
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
xAI
<1%
OpenAI 98.0%
Google 1.4%
MiniMax <1%
Anthropic <1%
$27,133 Vol.
$27,133 Vol.
OpenAI
98%
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
xAI
<1%
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Pasar Dibuka: May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns OpenAI a 98% implied probability of recording the second-highest revenue among AI companies for the week of May 11-17, driven by its established streams from ChatGPT subscriptions and API usage that continue to expand with enterprise adoption. OpenAI’s large language models maintain leading user engagement and integration metrics relative to peers, supporting stable weekly inflows even as Google holds the top position through broader cloud and search contributions. Recent product updates and developer ecosystem growth have reinforced this trajectory. A material challenge could emerge only from an unanticipated spike in another firm’s reported AI-specific billings or a delayed revenue recognition event, though current industry patterns make such reversals unlikely before the week closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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