Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 release in April 2026, combined with expanded Claude Code agentic features, has driven overwhelming trader consensus for its large language model as the leader in coding capabilities by month-end. The update delivered a 13% lift on a 93-task coding benchmark, stronger performance on complex multi-step engineering workflows, and improved handling of long-running tasks with better instruction following and self-verification. Recent developer events highlighted multi-agent orchestration and higher usage limits that further solidify its edge in real-world agentic coding. With only two weeks remaining, the 93% implied probability reflects this established positioning, though a major unannounced release or benchmark reversal from OpenAI or Google could still introduce last-minute volatility.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 93.0%
OpenAI 2.9%
Google 2.6%
DeepSeek <1%
$35,572 Vol.
$35,572 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
93%
OpenAI
3%
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meta
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 93.0%
OpenAI 2.9%
Google 2.6%
DeepSeek <1%
$35,572 Vol.
$35,572 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$3,964 Vol.
93%
OpenAI
$3,057 Vol.
3%
$2,860 Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
$2,557 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$2,539 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$2,740 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$3,265 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$2,480 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$2,581 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$2,533 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$2,719 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$1,058 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$986 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,139 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 release in April 2026, combined with expanded Claude Code agentic features, has driven overwhelming trader consensus for its large language model as the leader in coding capabilities by month-end. The update delivered a 13% lift on a 93-task coding benchmark, stronger performance on complex multi-step engineering workflows, and improved handling of long-running tasks with better instruction following and self-verification. Recent developer events highlighted multi-agent orchestration and higher usage limits that further solidify its edge in real-world agentic coding. With only two weeks remaining, the 93% implied probability reflects this established positioning, though a major unannounced release or benchmark reversal from OpenAI or Google could still introduce last-minute volatility.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volume
$35,572Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 release in April 2026, combined with expanded Claude Code agentic features, has driven overwhelming trader consensus for its large language model as the leader in coding capabilities by month-end. The update delivered a 13% lift on a 93-task coding benchmark, stronger performance on complex multi-step engineering workflows, and improved handling of long-running tasks with better instruction following and self-verification. Recent developer events highlighted multi-agent orchestration and higher usage limits that further solidify its edge in real-world agentic coding. With only two weeks remaining, the 93% implied probability reflects this established positioning, though a major unannounced release or benchmark reversal from OpenAI or Google could still introduce last-minute volatility.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$35,572Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 release in April 2026, combined with expanded Claude Code agentic features, has driven overwhelming trader consensus for its large language model as the leader in coding capabilities by month-end. The update delivered a 13% lift on a 93-task coding benchmark, stronger performance on complex multi-step engineering workflows, and improved handling of long-running tasks with better instruction following and self-verification. Recent developer events highlighted multi-agent orchestration and higher usage limits that further solidify its edge in real-world agentic coding. With only two weeks remaining, the 93% implied probability reflects this established positioning, though a major unannounced release or benchmark reversal from OpenAI or Google could still introduce last-minute volatility.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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