The Buffalo Bills hold the strongest position in the AFC East after a 3-1 start, though their Week 4 home loss to the Patriots tightened the race. New England improved to 2-2 behind quarterback Drake Maye's three-touchdown performance and a late-game drive that produced the 29-26 upset, giving traders renewed confidence in the Patriots' trajectory under Mike Vrabel. The Jets and Dolphins remain far behind at 1-3 and 0-4, respectively, with limited offensive production and no recent results to shift implied probabilities. Trader consensus reflects these records, head-to-head outcomes, and schedule contexts through early October, while acknowledging the potential for further movement based on upcoming divisional matchups and roster health.