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icon for Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

icon for Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

9% peluang
Polymarket

$52,361 Vol.

9% peluang
Polymarket

$52,361 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's parliament faces a narrow path to dissolution by July 31 after the May 5 no-confidence vote removed Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-EU coalition government. The president has begun consultations with parliamentary parties to nominate a new prime minister, with multiple attempts possible before any dissolution trigger under constitutional rules. Major parties, including the Social Democrats and National Liberals, have signaled preference for coalition talks over early elections, while the president has ruled out snap polls and anticipates a new pro-Western cabinet within weeks. Historical precedent shows no early parliamentary dissolution since 1989, and current polling dynamics give larger parties incentive to avoid a vote that could favor smaller opposition forces. These factors underpin traders' strong consensus against dissolution in the coming months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$52,361
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's parliament faces a narrow path to dissolution by July 31 after the May 5 no-confidence vote removed Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-EU coalition government. The president has begun consultations with parliamentary parties to nominate a new prime minister, with multiple attempts possible before any dissolution trigger under constitutional rules. Major parties, including the Social Democrats and National Liberals, have signaled preference for coalition talks over early elections, while the president has ruled out snap polls and anticipates a new pro-Western cabinet within weeks. Historical precedent shows no early parliamentary dissolution since 1989, and current polling dynamics give larger parties incentive to avoid a vote that could favor smaller opposition forces. These factors underpin traders' strong consensus against dissolution in the coming months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$52,361
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 9% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 9¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 9% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?" telah menghasilkan $52.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?" adalah 9% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 9% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.