Recent polling shows tight contests across all three races, with Democratic nominees James Talarico in Texas, Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, and Troy Jackson in Maine each holding narrow edges or statistical ties against Ken Paxton, Mike Rogers, and Susan Collins, respectively. Primaries resolved with Paxton defeating incumbent John Cornyn, El-Sayed prevailing over Haley Stevens, and Jackson replacing Graham Platner after the latter's withdrawal, compressing general-election timelines. These dynamics sustain elevated probabilities for a Democratic sweep while supporting a range of mixed outcomes, as small shifts in turnout, candidate consolidation, or national conditions could alter results in any state before November. Traders price the sweep highest due to the clustered polling averages near 45-48 percent in each contest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiDems sweep 46%
Reps TX & ME, Dems MI 21%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 19%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME 18%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
46%
Reps TX & ME, Dems MI
21%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME
19%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME
18%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME
18%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI
17%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME
17%
Reps sweep
16%
Dems sweep 46%
Reps TX & ME, Dems MI 21%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 19%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME 18%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$20 Vol.
46%
Reps TX & ME, Dems MI
$0 Vol.
21%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME
$0 Vol.
19%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME
$0 Vol.
18%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME
$0 Vol.
18%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI
$0 Vol.
17%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME
$0 Vol.
17%
Reps sweep
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling shows tight contests across all three races, with Democratic nominees James Talarico in Texas, Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, and Troy Jackson in Maine each holding narrow edges or statistical ties against Ken Paxton, Mike Rogers, and Susan Collins, respectively. Primaries resolved with Paxton defeating incumbent John Cornyn, El-Sayed prevailing over Haley Stevens, and Jackson replacing Graham Platner after the latter's withdrawal, compressing general-election timelines. These dynamics sustain elevated probabilities for a Democratic sweep while supporting a range of mixed outcomes, as small shifts in turnout, candidate consolidation, or national conditions could alter results in any state before November. Traders price the sweep highest due to the clustered polling averages near 45-48 percent in each contest.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volume
$20Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling shows tight contests across all three races, with Democratic nominees James Talarico in Texas, Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, and Troy Jackson in Maine each holding narrow edges or statistical ties against Ken Paxton, Mike Rogers, and Susan Collins, respectively. Primaries resolved with Paxton defeating incumbent John Cornyn, El-Sayed prevailing over Haley Stevens, and Jackson replacing Graham Platner after the latter's withdrawal, compressing general-election timelines. These dynamics sustain elevated probabilities for a Democratic sweep while supporting a range of mixed outcomes, as small shifts in turnout, candidate consolidation, or national conditions could alter results in any state before November. Traders price the sweep highest due to the clustered polling averages near 45-48 percent in each contest.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows tight contests across all three races, with Democratic nominees James Talarico in Texas, Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, and Troy Jackson in Maine each holding narrow edges or statistical ties against Ken Paxton, Mike Rogers, and Susan Collins, respectively. Primaries resolved with Paxton defeating incumbent John Cornyn, El-Sayed prevailing over Haley Stevens, and Jackson replacing Graham Platner after the latter's withdrawal, compressing general-election timelines. These dynamics sustain elevated probabilities for a Democratic sweep while supporting a range of mixed outcomes, as small shifts in turnout, candidate consolidation, or national conditions could alter results in any state before November. Traders price the sweep highest due to the clustered polling averages near 45-48 percent in each contest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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