Strong third-quarter S&P 500 earnings growth of approximately 31% year-over-year, with 84% of reporting companies beating estimates, has supported analyst year-end 2026 targets near 8,000 from major banks including Goldman Sachs and Societe Generale. The index closed at 7,592 on November 12 after pulling back from its October high near 7,845, trading at a forward P/E of about 17.7. Persistent inflation, highlighted by October CPI rising 0.4% month-over-month versus 0.3% expected, has shifted expectations toward a potential 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the December 8-9 FOMC meeting rather than further easing from the current 3.75%-4.00% range. Seasonal strength following midterms and declining oil prices could provide near-term support through resolution.
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