Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, the court's two oldest members at ages 77 and 76, have signaled they intend to remain through at least the end of 2026, with no public retirement announcements or health concerns reported. Earlier 2026 speculation and an erroneous NPR report about Alito stepping down were quickly retracted, and both justices have continued active participation without indications of departure. Liberal justices show no signs of retiring soon either. With President Trump in office and no scheduled events or procedural triggers forcing a vacancy, trader consensus at 77.5% for no vacancy reflects the absence of confirmed catalysts before year-end, though late-term developments could still shift the outlook.