Türkiye and Czechia sit winless at the bottom of their League A groups after Matchday 5, positioning them as the two lowest-ranked fourth-placed sides and thus facing direct relegation to League B under the 2026/27 format. Serbia shares a similar record but ranks higher among fourth-placed teams due to tiebreakers, while Norway holds a slight edge with three points. Portugal, Spain, and the Netherlands have already secured quarter-final spots, leaving the final Matchday 6 fixtures—including Norway vs Wales, Portugal vs Denmark, and several decisive group games—to finalize fourth-place rankings and any play-off participants. Recent results, including heavy defeats for the bottom sides, have solidified trader consensus around these outcomes ahead of the November 17 deadline.