Walmart’s U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel for the second quarter ending around July 2026 carry an 88% market-implied probability of landing in the 3-4.5% range, reflecting analyst consensus estimates near 3.57% and a sequential moderation from the prior quarter’s 4.1% growth. This pricing aligns with reported trends of decelerating transaction and ticket growth amid softer consumer demand, elevated prior-year comparisons from the 4.6% print in Q2 FY26, and macro pressures including potential tariff-related pricing effects. Traders are weighting the recent earnings trajectory and retail sector data more heavily than optimistic scenarios for acceleration above 4.5%. The August 20, 2026 earnings release remains the key near-term catalyst that could refine these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui3%-4.5% 80%
4.5%-6% 7.6%
<3% 5.3%
7.5%+ <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
<3%
5%
3%-4.5%
88%
4.5%-6%
8%
6%-7.5%
1%
7.5%+
1%
3%-4.5% 80%
4.5%-6% 7.6%
<3% 5.3%
7.5%+ <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
<3%
$1,042 Vol.
5%
3%-4.5%
$2,719 Vol.
88%
4.5%-6%
$399 Vol.
8%
6%-7.5%
$322 Vol.
1%
7.5%+
$270 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Walmart’s U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel for the second quarter ending around July 2026 carry an 88% market-implied probability of landing in the 3-4.5% range, reflecting analyst consensus estimates near 3.57% and a sequential moderation from the prior quarter’s 4.1% growth. This pricing aligns with reported trends of decelerating transaction and ticket growth amid softer consumer demand, elevated prior-year comparisons from the 4.6% print in Q2 FY26, and macro pressures including potential tariff-related pricing effects. Traders are weighting the recent earnings trajectory and retail sector data more heavily than optimistic scenarios for acceleration above 4.5%. The August 20, 2026 earnings release remains the key near-term catalyst that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$4,751Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Walmart’s U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel for the second quarter ending around July 2026 carry an 88% market-implied probability of landing in the 3-4.5% range, reflecting analyst consensus estimates near 3.57% and a sequential moderation from the prior quarter’s 4.1% growth. This pricing aligns with reported trends of decelerating transaction and ticket growth amid softer consumer demand, elevated prior-year comparisons from the 4.6% print in Q2 FY26, and macro pressures including potential tariff-related pricing effects. Traders are weighting the recent earnings trajectory and retail sector data more heavily than optimistic scenarios for acceleration above 4.5%. The August 20, 2026 earnings release remains the key near-term catalyst that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$4,751Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Walmart’s U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel for the second quarter ending around July 2026 carry an 88% market-implied probability of landing in the 3-4.5% range, reflecting analyst consensus estimates near 3.57% and a sequential moderation from the prior quarter’s 4.1% growth. This pricing aligns with reported trends of decelerating transaction and ticket growth amid softer consumer demand, elevated prior-year comparisons from the 4.6% print in Q2 FY26, and macro pressures including potential tariff-related pricing effects. Traders are weighting the recent earnings trajectory and retail sector data more heavily than optimistic scenarios for acceleration above 4.5%. The August 20, 2026 earnings release remains the key near-term catalyst that could refine these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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