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icon for What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
Ekonomi·Perumahan·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
Ekonomi·Perumahan·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?

>1.209m 26%

1.18 - 1.187m 25%

1.173 - 1.18m 21%

1.187 - 1.194m 18%

Polymarket
BARU

>1.209m 26%

1.18 - 1.187m 25%

1.173 - 1.18m 21%

1.187 - 1.194m 18%

Polymarket
BARU

<1.166m

$0 Vol.

11%

1.166 - 1.173m

$0 Vol.

13%

1.173 - 1.18m

$60 Vol.

20%

1.18 - 1.187m

$100 Vol.

25%

1.187 - 1.194m

$210 Vol.

18%

1.194 - 1.209m

$40 Vol.

17%

>1.209m

$54 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent Los Angeles Metro housing data through March 2026 show median values stabilizing near $1.0 million amid low inventory and balanced buyer demand, positioning the 1.187–1.194 million range as the market-implied favorite at 51%. Year-over-year price changes remain mixed, with some reports noting modest 1–2% gains offset by slight declines in others, reflecting persistent affordability constraints from elevated mortgage rates. Traders appear to price in continued limited supply as the dominant near-term support, while upcoming April–May releases on sales volume and listing trends could still shift probabilities within the clustered 1.18–1.209 million outcomes before May 31 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Volume
$463
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent Los Angeles Metro housing data through March 2026 show median values stabilizing near $1.0 million amid low inventory and balanced buyer demand, positioning the 1.187–1.194 million range as the market-implied favorite at 51%. Year-over-year price changes remain mixed, with some reports noting modest 1–2% gains offset by slight declines in others, reflecting persistent affordability constraints from elevated mortgage rates. Traders appear to price in continued limited supply as the dominant near-term support, while upcoming April–May releases on sales volume and listing trends could still shift probabilities within the clustered 1.18–1.209 million outcomes before May 31 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Volume
$463
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah ">1.209m" di 26%, diikuti oleh "1.18 - 1.187m" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 26¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 26% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 4, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?" adalah ">1.209m" di 26%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 26% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "1.18 - 1.187m" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.