Mortgage rates currently hover in the mid-6% range, with the 30-year fixed averaging around 6.36% to 6.46% in mid-May 2026, closely tracking the 10-year Treasury yield amid persistent inflation pressures near 3.8% and limited Federal Reserve easing. Geopolitical tensions, including stalled Iran negotiations that have supported higher oil prices, have kept long-term yields elevated and limited downside moves despite earlier 2025 rate cuts. Market-implied odds reflect expectations of modest further declines toward the upper 5% range by year-end if incoming CPI and employment data show sustained cooling, though stronger growth or renewed inflation could push yields and mortgage rates higher. Key near-term catalysts include the next FOMC meeting and May inflation releases, which will shape trader views on whether rates breach specific thresholds in 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
$49,755 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 7.00%
15%
↑ 6.75%
54%
↑ 6.50%
74%
↓ 5.90%
48%
↓ 5.70%
44%
↓ 5.50%
47%
$49,755 Vol.
↑ 7.00%
$26 Vol.
15%
↑ 6.75%
$118 Vol.
54%
↑ 6.50%
$6,700 Vol.
74%
↓ 5.90%
$6,005 Vol.
48%
↓ 5.70%
$6,769 Vol.
44%
↓ 5.50%
$25 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates currently hover in the mid-6% range, with the 30-year fixed averaging around 6.36% to 6.46% in mid-May 2026, closely tracking the 10-year Treasury yield amid persistent inflation pressures near 3.8% and limited Federal Reserve easing. Geopolitical tensions, including stalled Iran negotiations that have supported higher oil prices, have kept long-term yields elevated and limited downside moves despite earlier 2025 rate cuts. Market-implied odds reflect expectations of modest further declines toward the upper 5% range by year-end if incoming CPI and employment data show sustained cooling, though stronger growth or renewed inflation could push yields and mortgage rates higher. Key near-term catalysts include the next FOMC meeting and May inflation releases, which will shape trader views on whether rates breach specific thresholds in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$49,755Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates currently hover in the mid-6% range, with the 30-year fixed averaging around 6.36% to 6.46% in mid-May 2026, closely tracking the 10-year Treasury yield amid persistent inflation pressures near 3.8% and limited Federal Reserve easing. Geopolitical tensions, including stalled Iran negotiations that have supported higher oil prices, have kept long-term yields elevated and limited downside moves despite earlier 2025 rate cuts. Market-implied odds reflect expectations of modest further declines toward the upper 5% range by year-end if incoming CPI and employment data show sustained cooling, though stronger growth or renewed inflation could push yields and mortgage rates higher. Key near-term catalysts include the next FOMC meeting and May inflation releases, which will shape trader views on whether rates breach specific thresholds in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volume
$49,755Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mortgage rates currently hover in the mid-6% range, with the 30-year fixed averaging around 6.36% to 6.46% in mid-May 2026, closely tracking the 10-year Treasury yield amid persistent inflation pressures near 3.8% and limited Federal Reserve easing. Geopolitical tensions, including stalled Iran negotiations that have supported higher oil prices, have kept long-term yields elevated and limited downside moves despite earlier 2025 rate cuts. Market-implied odds reflect expectations of modest further declines toward the upper 5% range by year-end if incoming CPI and employment data show sustained cooling, though stronger growth or renewed inflation could push yields and mortgage rates higher. Key near-term catalysts include the next FOMC meeting and May inflation releases, which will shape trader views on whether rates breach specific thresholds in 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan