Skip to main content
icon for Where will it rain on the 4th of July?

Where will it rain on the 4th of July?

icon for Where will it rain on the 4th of July?

Where will it rain on the 4th of July?

BARU
Jul 6, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

Dallas

$0 Vol.

49%

Atlanta

$0 Vol.

50%

San Francisco

$0 Vol.

50%

Boston

$0 Vol.

50%

Denver

$0 Vol.

50%

New York City

$0 Vol.

49%

Washington D.C.

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Dallas Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Dallas Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Atlanta Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Atlanta Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ffc link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in San Francisco, CA on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “San Francisco City, CA” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Boston Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Boston Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=box link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Denver Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Denver Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the NY-Central Park Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “NY-Central Park Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Washington Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Washington Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lwx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center indicates near-normal precipitation probabilities across much of the contiguous United States for early July, with scattered thunderstorms favored in typical summer patterns over the East, Midwest, and South due to monsoon moisture and frontal boundaries. Current dynamical models show mixed signals on exact timing and placement of rainfall four days out, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 3–7 day precipitation forecasts amid variable steering patterns and convective initiation. Authoritative updates from the National Weather Service and refreshed model guidance will refine land-area probabilities through the holiday weekend, directly informing trader assessments of where measurable rain occurs on July 4.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Dallas Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Dallas Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.

Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.

If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 7, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Dallas Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Dallas Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Dallas Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Dallas Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Atlanta Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Atlanta Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ffc link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in San Francisco, CA on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “San Francisco City, CA” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Boston Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Boston Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=box link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Denver Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Denver Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the NY-Central Park Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “NY-Central Park Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Washington Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Washington Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lwx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center indicates near-normal precipitation probabilities across much of the contiguous United States for early July, with scattered thunderstorms favored in typical summer patterns over the East, Midwest, and South due to monsoon moisture and frontal boundaries. Current dynamical models show mixed signals on exact timing and placement of rainfall four days out, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 3–7 day precipitation forecasts amid variable steering patterns and convective initiation. Authoritative updates from the National Weather Service and refreshed model guidance will refine land-area probabilities through the holiday weekend, directly informing trader assessments of where measurable rain occurs on July 4.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Dallas Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Dallas Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.

Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.

If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 7, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in the Dallas Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Daily data for a month” for “Dallas Area” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution. If the relevant data is not made available by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Where will it rain on the 4th of July?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Atlanta" di 50%, diikuti oleh "San Francisco" di 50%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 50¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 50% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Where will it rain on the 4th of July?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 30, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Where will it rain on the 4th of July?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Where will it rain on the 4th of July?" adalah "Atlanta" di 50%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 50% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "San Francisco" di 50%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Where will it rain on the 4th of July?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.