Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers including top-ranked powerhouses Spain, France, England, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, and Belgium—bolstered by Spain's recent dominance and the continent's five straight titles from 2006-2022 before Argentina's 2022 breakthrough. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL standouts Argentina (defending champions), Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, whose attacking flair poses a realistic challenge despite fewer slots. Africa's 3.5% and Asia's 2.9% acknowledge rising talents like Morocco and Japan amid debuts for Jordan, Uzbekistan, and Cape Verde, but historical knockout struggles persist. CONCACAF hosts (USA, Canada, Mexico) and others trail at 2.3%, hampered by limited depth, while Oceania's New Zealand sits at 0.3%. Final qualifiers in late March sealed Europe's strength with surprise punches from Turkey, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, and Czechia, solidifying post-draw sentiment ahead of the June 11 kickoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBenua mana yang akan memenangkan Piala Dunia FIFA 2026?
Benua mana yang akan memenangkan Piala Dunia FIFA 2026?
Eropa 73%
Amerika Selatan 21%
Afrika 3.5%
Asia 2.9%
$2,115,685 Vol.
$2,115,685 Vol.
Eropa
73%
Amerika Selatan
21%
Afrika
3%
Asia
3%
Amerika Utara
2%
Oseania
<1%
Eropa 73%
Amerika Selatan 21%
Afrika 3.5%
Asia 2.9%
$2,115,685 Vol.
$2,115,685 Vol.
Eropa
$145,938 Vol.
73%
Amerika Selatan
$209,993 Vol.
21%
Afrika
$999,447 Vol.
3%
Asia
$256,108 Vol.
3%
Amerika Utara
$229,783 Vol.
2%
Oseania
$274,674 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers including top-ranked powerhouses Spain, France, England, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, and Belgium—bolstered by Spain's recent dominance and the continent's five straight titles from 2006-2022 before Argentina's 2022 breakthrough. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL standouts Argentina (defending champions), Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, whose attacking flair poses a realistic challenge despite fewer slots. Africa's 3.5% and Asia's 2.9% acknowledge rising talents like Morocco and Japan amid debuts for Jordan, Uzbekistan, and Cape Verde, but historical knockout struggles persist. CONCACAF hosts (USA, Canada, Mexico) and others trail at 2.3%, hampered by limited depth, while Oceania's New Zealand sits at 0.3%. Final qualifiers in late March sealed Europe's strength with surprise punches from Turkey, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, and Czechia, solidifying post-draw sentiment ahead of the June 11 kickoff.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,115,685Pasar Dibuka
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers including top-ranked powerhouses Spain, France, England, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, and Belgium—bolstered by Spain's recent dominance and the continent's five straight titles from 2006-2022 before Argentina's 2022 breakthrough. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL standouts Argentina (defending champions), Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, whose attacking flair poses a realistic challenge despite fewer slots. Africa's 3.5% and Asia's 2.9% acknowledge rising talents like Morocco and Japan amid debuts for Jordan, Uzbekistan, and Cape Verde, but historical knockout struggles persist. CONCACAF hosts (USA, Canada, Mexico) and others trail at 2.3%, hampered by limited depth, while Oceania's New Zealand sits at 0.3%. Final qualifiers in late March sealed Europe's strength with surprise punches from Turkey, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, and Czechia, solidifying post-draw sentiment ahead of the June 11 kickoff.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,115,685Pasar Dibuka
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers including top-ranked powerhouses Spain, France, England, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, and Belgium—bolstered by Spain's recent dominance and the continent's five straight titles from 2006-2022 before Argentina's 2022 breakthrough. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL standouts Argentina (defending champions), Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, whose attacking flair poses a realistic challenge despite fewer slots. Africa's 3.5% and Asia's 2.9% acknowledge rising talents like Morocco and Japan amid debuts for Jordan, Uzbekistan, and Cape Verde, but historical knockout struggles persist. CONCACAF hosts (USA, Canada, Mexico) and others trail at 2.3%, hampered by limited depth, while Oceania's New Zealand sits at 0.3%. Final qualifiers in late March sealed Europe's strength with surprise punches from Turkey, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, and Czechia, solidifying post-draw sentiment ahead of the June 11 kickoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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