UEFA nations hold the strongest position in this market due to superior squad depth, elite coaching, and consistent high-level performance across multiple teams including France, England, Spain, and Germany. Historical World Cup results show European sides claiming the trophy in 12 of the last 13 editions, reinforcing trader pricing around 72.5 percent implied probability. CONMEBOL follows at 19.5 percent, driven primarily by Argentina and Brazil's individual talent and recent form, though fewer competitive teams limit the continent's overall chances. Lower probabilities for CAF, CONCACAF, AFC, and OFC reflect limited recent success at the highest level, with only occasional standout performances unlikely to overcome the structural advantages held by UEFA contenders entering the expanded 2026 tournament.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhich continent will win the World Cup?
Eropa 73%
Amerika Selatan 20%
Afrika 3.8%
Amerika Utara 3.6%
$3,974,316 Vol.
$3,974,316 Vol.
Eropa
73%
Amerika Selatan
20%
Afrika
4%
Amerika Utara
4%
Asia
2%
Oseania
<1%
Eropa 73%
Amerika Selatan 20%
Afrika 3.8%
Amerika Utara 3.6%
$3,974,316 Vol.
$3,974,316 Vol.
Eropa
73%
Amerika Selatan
20%
Afrika
4%
Amerika Utara
4%
Asia
2%
Oseania
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...UEFA nations hold the strongest position in this market due to superior squad depth, elite coaching, and consistent high-level performance across multiple teams including France, England, Spain, and Germany. Historical World Cup results show European sides claiming the trophy in 12 of the last 13 editions, reinforcing trader pricing around 72.5 percent implied probability. CONMEBOL follows at 19.5 percent, driven primarily by Argentina and Brazil's individual talent and recent form, though fewer competitive teams limit the continent's overall chances. Lower probabilities for CAF, CONCACAF, AFC, and OFC reflect limited recent success at the highest level, with only occasional standout performances unlikely to overcome the structural advantages held by UEFA contenders entering the expanded 2026 tournament.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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