Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive and are polling within or near five-point margins, driven by open seats from retirements in Michigan, New Hampshire, and North Carolina, plus strong challengers in Republican-held states such as Maine, Ohio, Iowa, Alaska, and Texas. Recent primary outcomes and candidate recruitment have shifted ratings toward toss-ups in multiple battlegrounds, with aggregates showing margins under three points in Texas, Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio amid voter concerns over economic conditions and turnout patterns. Traders are focusing on these races because control of the chamber hinges on a handful of close results, with Election Day on November 3 still allowing time for debates, advertising surges, and late shifts in polling averages to alter final margins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$62,469 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
84%
Kansas
70%
Alaska
69%
Michigan
62%
Iowa
61%
Ohio (Special)
57%
Maine
56%
New Hampshire
66%
Nebraska
48%
South Carolina
41%
Georgia
27%
Florida (Special)
25%
Minnesota
21%
North Carolina
13%
Montana
12%
New Mexico
12%
Virginia
5%
Colorado
4%
$62,469 Vol.
Texas
$7,129 Vol.
84%
Kansas
$556 Vol.
70%
Alaska
$2,789 Vol.
69%
Michigan
$2,735 Vol.
62%
Iowa
$5,645 Vol.
61%
Ohio (Special)
$3,936 Vol.
57%
Maine
$1,020 Vol.
56%
New Hampshire
$2,352 Vol.
66%
Nebraska
$3,687 Vol.
48%
South Carolina
$109 Vol.
41%
Georgia
$1,394 Vol.
27%
Florida (Special)
$2,450 Vol.
25%
Minnesota
$9,715 Vol.
21%
North Carolina
$5,584 Vol.
13%
Montana
$2,759 Vol.
12%
New Mexico
$6,665 Vol.
12%
Virginia
$1,344 Vol.
5%
Colorado
$2,599 Vol.
4%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive and are polling within or near five-point margins, driven by open seats from retirements in Michigan, New Hampshire, and North Carolina, plus strong challengers in Republican-held states such as Maine, Ohio, Iowa, Alaska, and Texas. Recent primary outcomes and candidate recruitment have shifted ratings toward toss-ups in multiple battlegrounds, with aggregates showing margins under three points in Texas, Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio amid voter concerns over economic conditions and turnout patterns. Traders are focusing on these races because control of the chamber hinges on a handful of close results, with Election Day on November 3 still allowing time for debates, advertising surges, and late shifts in polling averages to alter final margins.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$62,469Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive and are polling within or near five-point margins, driven by open seats from retirements in Michigan, New Hampshire, and North Carolina, plus strong challengers in Republican-held states such as Maine, Ohio, Iowa, Alaska, and Texas. Recent primary outcomes and candidate recruitment have shifted ratings toward toss-ups in multiple battlegrounds, with aggregates showing margins under three points in Texas, Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio amid voter concerns over economic conditions and turnout patterns. Traders are focusing on these races because control of the chamber hinges on a handful of close results, with Election Day on November 3 still allowing time for debates, advertising surges, and late shifts in polling averages to alter final margins.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,469Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive and are polling within or near five-point margins, driven by open seats from retirements in Michigan, New Hampshire, and North Carolina, plus strong challengers in Republican-held states such as Maine, Ohio, Iowa, Alaska, and Texas. Recent primary outcomes and candidate recruitment have shifted ratings toward toss-ups in multiple battlegrounds, with aggregates showing margins under three points in Texas, Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio amid voter concerns over economic conditions and turnout patterns. Traders are focusing on these races because control of the chamber hinges on a handful of close results, with Election Day on November 3 still allowing time for debates, advertising surges, and late shifts in polling averages to alter final margins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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