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Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

icon for Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Rafael Grossi 47%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 22.9%

Rebeca Grynspan 16.7%

Michelle Bachelet 12.0%

Polymarket

$60,794 Vol.

Rafael Grossi 47%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 22.9%

Rebeca Grynspan 16.7%

Michelle Bachelet 12.0%

Polymarket

$60,794 Vol.

Rafael Grossi

$20,406 Vol.

47%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$1,901 Vol.

23%

Rebeca Grynspan

$3,111 Vol.

17%

Michelle Bachelet

$19,938 Vol.

12%

Jacinda Ardern

$1,196 Vol.

3%

Bruno Donat

$1,580 Vol.

1%

David Choquehuanca

$1,708 Vol.

<1%

Vuk Jeremić

$1,679 Vol.

<1%

Mia Mottley

$1,180 Vol.

<1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$1,814 Vol.

<1%

Alicia Bárcena

$1,029 Vol.

<1%

Kristalina Georgieva

$1,071 Vol.

<1%

Amina Mohammed

$3,003 Vol.

<1%

Achim Steiner

$1,179 Vol.

<1%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The selection process for the successor to António Guterres, whose term concludes on 31 December 2026, formally opened in November 2025 and features several officially nominated candidates who have completed interactive dialogues with member states. Rafael Grossi leads trader assessments owing to his six years as IAEA Director General, where he managed high-stakes nuclear diplomacy including repeated missions to Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia plant and direct engagement across conflict lines. María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés, nominated by Antigua and Barbuda on 11 May 2026, has risen sharply following that recent entry and her prior General Assembly presidency. Rebeca Grynspan and Michelle Bachelet draw support from their extensive multilateral records and Latin American backing, while the Security Council’s eventual recommendation and General Assembly vote remain the decisive steps that could shift outcomes before the 2027 transition.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60,794
Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The selection process for the successor to António Guterres, whose term concludes on 31 December 2026, formally opened in November 2025 and features several officially nominated candidates who have completed interactive dialogues with member states. Rafael Grossi leads trader assessments owing to his six years as IAEA Director General, where he managed high-stakes nuclear diplomacy including repeated missions to Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia plant and direct engagement across conflict lines. María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés, nominated by Antigua and Barbuda on 11 May 2026, has risen sharply following that recent entry and her prior General Assembly presidency. Rebeca Grynspan and Michelle Bachelet draw support from their extensive multilateral records and Latin American backing, while the Security Council’s eventual recommendation and General Assembly vote remain the decisive steps that could shift outcomes before the 2027 transition.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60,794
Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 14 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Rafael Grossi" di 47%, diikuti oleh "Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés" di 23%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 47¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" telah menghasilkan $60.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 12, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?," jelajahi 14 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" adalah "Rafael Grossi" di 47%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés" di 23%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.