The selection process for the successor to António Guterres, whose term concludes on 31 December 2026, formally opened in November 2025 and features several officially nominated candidates who have completed interactive dialogues with member states. Rafael Grossi leads trader assessments owing to his six years as IAEA Director General, where he managed high-stakes nuclear diplomacy including repeated missions to Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia plant and direct engagement across conflict lines. María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés, nominated by Antigua and Barbuda on 11 May 2026, has risen sharply following that recent entry and her prior General Assembly presidency. Rebeca Grynspan and Michelle Bachelet draw support from their extensive multilateral records and Latin American backing, while the Security Council’s eventual recommendation and General Assembly vote remain the decisive steps that could shift outcomes before the 2027 transition.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWho will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Rafael Grossi 47%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 22.9%
Rebeca Grynspan 16.7%
Michelle Bachelet 12.0%
$60,794 Vol.
$60,794 Vol.
Rafael Grossi
47%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
23%
Rebeca Grynspan
17%
Michelle Bachelet
12%
Jacinda Ardern
3%
Bruno Donat
1%
David Choquehuanca
<1%
Vuk Jeremić
<1%
Mia Mottley
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
<1%
Alicia Bárcena
<1%
Kristalina Georgieva
<1%
Amina Mohammed
<1%
Achim Steiner
<1%
Rafael Grossi 47%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 22.9%
Rebeca Grynspan 16.7%
Michelle Bachelet 12.0%
$60,794 Vol.
$60,794 Vol.
Rafael Grossi
47%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
23%
Rebeca Grynspan
17%
Michelle Bachelet
12%
Jacinda Ardern
3%
Bruno Donat
1%
David Choquehuanca
<1%
Vuk Jeremić
<1%
Mia Mottley
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
<1%
Alicia Bárcena
<1%
Kristalina Georgieva
<1%
Amina Mohammed
<1%
Achim Steiner
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The selection process for the successor to António Guterres, whose term concludes on 31 December 2026, formally opened in November 2025 and features several officially nominated candidates who have completed interactive dialogues with member states. Rafael Grossi leads trader assessments owing to his six years as IAEA Director General, where he managed high-stakes nuclear diplomacy including repeated missions to Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia plant and direct engagement across conflict lines. María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés, nominated by Antigua and Barbuda on 11 May 2026, has risen sharply following that recent entry and her prior General Assembly presidency. Rebeca Grynspan and Michelle Bachelet draw support from their extensive multilateral records and Latin American backing, while the Security Council’s eventual recommendation and General Assembly vote remain the decisive steps that could shift outcomes before the 2027 transition.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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