Speculation over possible retirements by Justices Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, with no vacancy confirmed as of mid-2026. A Republican Senate majority would support swift confirmation of any pick from the established shortlist of circuit judges and officials. The fragmented odds across names such as Amul Thapar, Gregory Katsas, James Ho, Andrew Oldham, and others reflect the absence of a declared opening or clear presidential signal, leaving multiple candidates viable depending on which seat opens and the timing. Recent commentary on judicial records and clerkship ties has sustained interest without producing a consensus frontrunner. Developments such as an announced retirement or White House vetting signals could consolidate support around one contender.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWho will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
Amul Thapar 23%
James Ho 17%
Andrew Oldham 13%
Aileen Cannon 12%
BARU
BARU
Jan 19, 2029
Amul Thapar
23%
James Ho
17%
Andrew Oldham
13%
Aileen Cannon
15%
Steven Menashi
12%
Patrick Bumatay
11%
Neomi Rao
9%
Gregory Katsas
17%
Mike Lee
6%
John Sauer
5%
Ted Cruz
18%
Amul Thapar 23%
James Ho 17%
Andrew Oldham 13%
Aileen Cannon 12%
BARU
BARU
Jan 19, 2029
Amul Thapar
$155 Vol.
23%
James Ho
$457 Vol.
17%
Andrew Oldham
$637 Vol.
13%
Aileen Cannon
$243 Vol.
15%
Steven Menashi
$103 Vol.
12%
Patrick Bumatay
$881 Vol.
11%
Neomi Rao
$108 Vol.
9%
Gregory Katsas
$127 Vol.
17%
Mike Lee
$125 Vol.
6%
John Sauer
$121 Vol.
5%
Ted Cruz
$160 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Speculation over possible retirements by Justices Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, with no vacancy confirmed as of mid-2026. A Republican Senate majority would support swift confirmation of any pick from the established shortlist of circuit judges and officials. The fragmented odds across names such as Amul Thapar, Gregory Katsas, James Ho, Andrew Oldham, and others reflect the absence of a declared opening or clear presidential signal, leaving multiple candidates viable depending on which seat opens and the timing. Recent commentary on judicial records and clerkship ties has sustained interest without producing a consensus frontrunner. Developments such as an announced retirement or White House vetting signals could consolidate support around one contender.
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volume
$3,118Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 19, 2029Pasar Dibuka
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Speculation over possible retirements by Justices Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, with no vacancy confirmed as of mid-2026. A Republican Senate majority would support swift confirmation of any pick from the established shortlist of circuit judges and officials. The fragmented odds across names such as Amul Thapar, Gregory Katsas, James Ho, Andrew Oldham, and others reflect the absence of a declared opening or clear presidential signal, leaving multiple candidates viable depending on which seat opens and the timing. Recent commentary on judicial records and clerkship ties has sustained interest without producing a consensus frontrunner. Developments such as an announced retirement or White House vetting signals could consolidate support around one contender.
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,118Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 19, 2029Pasar Dibuka
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Speculation over possible retirements by Justices Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, with no vacancy confirmed as of mid-2026. A Republican Senate majority would support swift confirmation of any pick from the established shortlist of circuit judges and officials. The fragmented odds across names such as Amul Thapar, Gregory Katsas, James Ho, Andrew Oldham, and others reflect the absence of a declared opening or clear presidential signal, leaving multiple candidates viable depending on which seat opens and the timing. Recent commentary on judicial records and clerkship ties has sustained interest without producing a consensus frontrunner. Developments such as an announced retirement or White House vetting signals could consolidate support around one contender.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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