Petr Yan’s recent recapture of the UFC bantamweight title anchors trader consensus at 57.5 percent for year-end 2026 status. His unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025 completed an extended comeback and positioned the Russian as the division’s clear frontrunner entering the new year. Dvalishvili, now at 21 percent, seeks an immediate trilogy after three 2025 defenses ended in the loss, with reports pointing to a potential August rematch. Sean O’Malley at 9.5 percent prepares for a June matchup against Aiemann Zahabi, while Umar Nurmagomedov at 7 percent remains a stylistic threat but lacks an imminent title opportunity. These developments, combined with the division’s depth, shape the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPetr Yan 56%
Merab Dvalishvili 21%
Sean O'Malley 16%
Umar Nurmagomedov 7%
$302,335 Vol.
$302,335 Vol.
Petr Yan
56%
Merab Dvalishvili
21%
Sean O'Malley
16%
Umar Nurmagomedov
7%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Petr Yan 56%
Merab Dvalishvili 21%
Sean O'Malley 16%
Umar Nurmagomedov 7%
$302,335 Vol.
$302,335 Vol.
Petr Yan
56%
Merab Dvalishvili
21%
Sean O'Malley
16%
Umar Nurmagomedov
7%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan’s recent recapture of the UFC bantamweight title anchors trader consensus at 57.5 percent for year-end 2026 status. His unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025 completed an extended comeback and positioned the Russian as the division’s clear frontrunner entering the new year. Dvalishvili, now at 21 percent, seeks an immediate trilogy after three 2025 defenses ended in the loss, with reports pointing to a potential August rematch. Sean O’Malley at 9.5 percent prepares for a June matchup against Aiemann Zahabi, while Umar Nurmagomedov at 7 percent remains a stylistic threat but lacks an imminent title opportunity. These developments, combined with the division’s depth, shape the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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