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Olahraga·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
Olahraga·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Justin Gaethje 82.2%

Arman Tsarukyan 5.2%

Ilia Topuria 4.9%

Mauricio Ruffy 4.2%

Polymarket

$667,782 Vol.

Justin Gaethje 82.2%

Arman Tsarukyan 5.2%

Ilia Topuria 4.9%

Mauricio Ruffy 4.2%

Polymarket

$667,782 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$18,956 Vol.

5%

Arman Tsarukyan

$8,922 Vol.

10%

Charles Oliveira

$8,408 Vol.

6%

Max Holloway

$16,512 Vol.

<1%

Justin Gaethje

$22,666 Vol.

82%

Paddy Pimblett

$526,352 Vol.

3%

Dan Hooker

$2,174 Vol.

<1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$1,993 Vol.

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$53,763 Vol.

1%

Rafael Fiziev

$2,086 Vol.

<1%

Renato Moicano

$2,429 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Ruffy

$3,521 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Justin Gaethje holds an overwhelming market edge to remain UFC lightweight champion through year-end, driven by his mid-2026 upset victory over previously unbeaten Ilia Topuria to claim the undisputed title at UFC Freedom 250. The 37-year-old followed an earlier dominant win over Paddy Pimblett for interim gold, and reports indicate he is unlikely to defend the belt again before 2027. This extended inactivity leaves little room for immediate challenges from ranked contenders such as Arman Tsarukyan, Charles Oliveira, or Max Holloway. While division depth and potential scheduling shifts could alter the landscape, Gaethje’s current standing and the compressed timeline through December reinforce trader consensus around his retention of the strap.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$667,782
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Justin Gaethje holds an overwhelming market edge to remain UFC lightweight champion through year-end, driven by his mid-2026 upset victory over previously unbeaten Ilia Topuria to claim the undisputed title at UFC Freedom 250. The 37-year-old followed an earlier dominant win over Paddy Pimblett for interim gold, and reports indicate he is unlikely to defend the belt again before 2027. This extended inactivity leaves little room for immediate challenges from ranked contenders such as Arman Tsarukyan, Charles Oliveira, or Max Holloway. While division depth and potential scheduling shifts could alter the landscape, Gaethje’s current standing and the compressed timeline through December reinforce trader consensus around his retention of the strap.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$667,782
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 12 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Justin Gaethje" di 82%, diikuti oleh "Arman Tsarukyan" di 10%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 82¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 82% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" telah menghasilkan $667.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?," jelajahi 12 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" adalah "Justin Gaethje" di 82%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 82% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Arman Tsarukyan" di 10%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.