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Olahraga·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
Olahraga·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Ilia Topuria 78%

Justin Gaethje 8.5%

Arman Tsarukyan 3.5%

Benoît Saint Denis 1.1%

Polymarket

$23,733 Vol.

Ilia Topuria 78%

Justin Gaethje 8.5%

Arman Tsarukyan 3.5%

Benoît Saint Denis 1.1%

Polymarket

$23,733 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$7,716 Vol.

78%

Arman Tsarukyan

$2,331 Vol.

4%

Charles Oliveira

$1,988 Vol.

1%

Max Holloway

$1,402 Vol.

<1%

Justin Gaethje

$2,661 Vol.

8%

Paddy Pimblett

$2,512 Vol.

<1%

Dan Hooker

$937 Vol.

1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$726 Vol.

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$1,450 Vol.

1%

Rafael Fiziev

$962 Vol.

<1%

Renato Moicano

$1,050 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria holds the UFC lightweight title after his emphatic first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira in 2025 and remains the clear frontrunner to finish 2026 as champion. His recent personal hiatus through early 2026 delayed defenses, but the division moved forward with Justin Gaethje capturing the interim belt via unanimous decision over Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324. Topuria is scheduled to return for a unification bout against Gaethje in June, leveraging his undefeated record, elite finishing power, and two-division success. Other contenders such as Arman Tsarukyan and Benoît Saint Denis sit further back in the standings, with limited immediate paths to the undisputed crown before year-end. Trader consensus reflects Topuria’s recent form and stylistic advantages in high-stakes matchups.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$23,733
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria holds the UFC lightweight title after his emphatic first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira in 2025 and remains the clear frontrunner to finish 2026 as champion. His recent personal hiatus through early 2026 delayed defenses, but the division moved forward with Justin Gaethje capturing the interim belt via unanimous decision over Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324. Topuria is scheduled to return for a unification bout against Gaethje in June, leveraging his undefeated record, elite finishing power, and two-division success. Other contenders such as Arman Tsarukyan and Benoît Saint Denis sit further back in the standings, with limited immediate paths to the undisputed crown before year-end. Trader consensus reflects Topuria’s recent form and stylistic advantages in high-stakes matchups.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$23,733
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ilia Topuria" di 78%, diikuti oleh "Justin Gaethje" di 8%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 78¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" telah menghasilkan $23.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" adalah "Ilia Topuria" di 78%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Justin Gaethje" di 8%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.