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Olahraga·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
Olahraga·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Ilia Topuria 68%

Arman Tsarukyan 19.3%

Justin Gaethje 12.5%

Charles Oliveira 7.3%

Polymarket

$605,078 Vol.

Ilia Topuria 68%

Arman Tsarukyan 19.3%

Justin Gaethje 12.5%

Charles Oliveira 7.3%

Polymarket

$605,078 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$11,064 Vol.

68%

Arman Tsarukyan

$3,237 Vol.

25%

Charles Oliveira

$2,791 Vol.

7%

Max Holloway

$11,824 Vol.

<1%

Justin Gaethje

$4,279 Vol.

13%

Paddy Pimblett

$519,727 Vol.

<1%

Dan Hooker

$1,110 Vol.

<1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$726 Vol.

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$48,125 Vol.

3%

Rafael Fiziev

$1,081 Vol.

<1%

Renato Moicano

$1,317 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Ruffy

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria holds a dominant position in the lightweight title picture entering mid-2026 as the undisputed champion following his first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira at UFC 317 in June 2025. His undefeated record and rapid title acquisition after moving up from featherweight underpin the 68% market consensus, reflecting trader views on his finishing power and recent form despite a brief personal hiatus. Justin Gaethje captured the interim belt via unanimous decision over Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324 in January 2026, setting up a unification bout on June 14 that could reshape the landscape if the veteran prevails. Arman Tsarukyan sits at 10.4% on the strength of his submission win over Dan Hooker and consistent contention, while Oliveira, Benoît Saint Denis, and others trail amid questions over recent activity and stylistic matchups. Multiple title defenses remain likely before year-end, with the division's depth and injury risks introducing volatility.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$605,078
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria holds a dominant position in the lightweight title picture entering mid-2026 as the undisputed champion following his first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira at UFC 317 in June 2025. His undefeated record and rapid title acquisition after moving up from featherweight underpin the 68% market consensus, reflecting trader views on his finishing power and recent form despite a brief personal hiatus. Justin Gaethje captured the interim belt via unanimous decision over Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324 in January 2026, setting up a unification bout on June 14 that could reshape the landscape if the veteran prevails. Arman Tsarukyan sits at 10.4% on the strength of his submission win over Dan Hooker and consistent contention, while Oliveira, Benoît Saint Denis, and others trail amid questions over recent activity and stylistic matchups. Multiple title defenses remain likely before year-end, with the division's depth and injury risks introducing volatility.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$605,078
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 12 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ilia Topuria" di 68%, diikuti oleh "Arman Tsarukyan" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 68¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 68% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" telah menghasilkan $605.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?," jelajahi 12 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" adalah "Ilia Topuria" di 68%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 68% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Arman Tsarukyan" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.