Islam Makhachev’s commanding 74.5% implied probability stems from his elite skill set, recent lightweight title defenses, and widespread trader anticipation of a move to welterweight where his grappling and cardio could dominate the division through 2026. Gabriel Bonfim at 25.9% and Ian Garry at 17.5% trail as emerging contenders whose recent wins have boosted their profiles yet leave them unproven against top competition. Lower-priced options such as Shavkat Rakhmonov and current champion Belal Muhammad sit near 0% because of age curves, scheduling uncertainty, and the market’s view that established champions face steep barriers to holding the belt long-term amid rising prospects.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIslam Makhachev 80%
Gabriel Bonfim 34.4%
Ian Machado Garry 17.5%
Carlos Prates 1.3%
$608,647 Vol.
$608,647 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Islam Makhachev
75%
Gabriel Bonfim
34%
Ian Machado Garry
18%
Carlos Prates
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Michael Morales
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Islam Makhachev 80%
Gabriel Bonfim 34.4%
Ian Machado Garry 17.5%
Carlos Prates 1.3%
$608,647 Vol.
$608,647 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Islam Makhachev
$5,996 Vol.
75%
Gabriel Bonfim
$0 Vol.
34%
Ian Machado Garry
$2,790 Vol.
18%
Carlos Prates
$1,587 Vol.
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
$201,300 Vol.
<1%
Kamaru Usman
$365,488 Vol.
<1%
Michael Morales
$4,626 Vol.
<1%
Sean Brady
$1,421 Vol.
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
$1,871 Vol.
<1%
Belal Muhammad
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
Leon Edwards
$1,197 Vol.
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
$21,274 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Islam Makhachev’s commanding 74.5% implied probability stems from his elite skill set, recent lightweight title defenses, and widespread trader anticipation of a move to welterweight where his grappling and cardio could dominate the division through 2026. Gabriel Bonfim at 25.9% and Ian Garry at 17.5% trail as emerging contenders whose recent wins have boosted their profiles yet leave them unproven against top competition. Lower-priced options such as Shavkat Rakhmonov and current champion Belal Muhammad sit near 0% because of age curves, scheduling uncertainty, and the market’s view that established champions face steep barriers to holding the belt long-term amid rising prospects.
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Volume
$608,647Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Islam Makhachev’s commanding 74.5% implied probability stems from his elite skill set, recent lightweight title defenses, and widespread trader anticipation of a move to welterweight where his grappling and cardio could dominate the division through 2026. Gabriel Bonfim at 25.9% and Ian Garry at 17.5% trail as emerging contenders whose recent wins have boosted their profiles yet leave them unproven against top competition. Lower-priced options such as Shavkat Rakhmonov and current champion Belal Muhammad sit near 0% because of age curves, scheduling uncertainty, and the market’s view that established champions face steep barriers to holding the belt long-term amid rising prospects.
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$608,647Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev’s commanding 74.5% implied probability stems from his elite skill set, recent lightweight title defenses, and widespread trader anticipation of a move to welterweight where his grappling and cardio could dominate the division through 2026. Gabriel Bonfim at 25.9% and Ian Garry at 17.5% trail as emerging contenders whose recent wins have boosted their profiles yet leave them unproven against top competition. Lower-priced options such as Shavkat Rakhmonov and current champion Belal Muhammad sit near 0% because of age curves, scheduling uncertainty, and the market’s view that established champions face steep barriers to holding the belt long-term amid rising prospects.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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