**Recent diplomatic signals from the three original signatories—Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan—frame the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement as an expandable collective-security framework open to additional participants.** Turkish officials have publicly described Egypt as a “natural partner” once technical issues are resolved, while former Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim and other Gulf voices have urged broader GCC involvement. These statements, issued in the weeks after the August 7, 2026 signing, underpin trader pricing that assigns the highest implied probabilities to the UAE and Egypt joining by year-end. Regional hedging against shifting external security guarantees, combined with existing bilateral defense and economic ties among potential entrants, supplies the main drivers of current consensus. No formal accessions have occurred in the first three weeks, leaving resolution dependent on upcoming bilateral or multilateral talks within the December 31 window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$62,259 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
October 31
15%
December 31
34%
$62,259 Vol.
October 31
$24,551 Vol.
15%
December 31
$37,708 Vol.
34%
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent diplomatic signals from the three original signatories—Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan—frame the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement as an expandable collective-security framework open to additional participants.** Turkish officials have publicly described Egypt as a “natural partner” once technical issues are resolved, while former Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim and other Gulf voices have urged broader GCC involvement. These statements, issued in the weeks after the August 7, 2026 signing, underpin trader pricing that assigns the highest implied probabilities to the UAE and Egypt joining by year-end. Regional hedging against shifting external security guarantees, combined with existing bilateral defense and economic ties among potential entrants, supplies the main drivers of current consensus. No formal accessions have occurred in the first three weeks, leaving resolution dependent on upcoming bilateral or multilateral talks within the December 31 window.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Volume
$62,259Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent diplomatic signals from the three original signatories—Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan—frame the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement as an expandable collective-security framework open to additional participants.** Turkish officials have publicly described Egypt as a “natural partner” once technical issues are resolved, while former Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim and other Gulf voices have urged broader GCC involvement. These statements, issued in the weeks after the August 7, 2026 signing, underpin trader pricing that assigns the highest implied probabilities to the UAE and Egypt joining by year-end. Regional hedging against shifting external security guarantees, combined with existing bilateral defense and economic ties among potential entrants, supplies the main drivers of current consensus. No formal accessions have occurred in the first three weeks, leaving resolution dependent on upcoming bilateral or multilateral talks within the December 31 window.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,259Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent diplomatic signals from the three original signatories—Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan—frame the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement as an expandable collective-security framework open to additional participants.** Turkish officials have publicly described Egypt as a “natural partner” once technical issues are resolved, while former Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim and other Gulf voices have urged broader GCC involvement. These statements, issued in the weeks after the August 7, 2026 signing, underpin trader pricing that assigns the highest implied probabilities to the UAE and Egypt joining by year-end. Regional hedging against shifting external security guarantees, combined with existing bilateral defense and economic ties among potential entrants, supplies the main drivers of current consensus. No formal accessions have occurred in the first three weeks, leaving resolution dependent on upcoming bilateral or multilateral talks within the December 31 window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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