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icon for Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

icon for Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

BARU
Jul 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,465 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$497 Vol.

1%

July 31

$429 Vol.

89%

August 31

$539 Vol.

98%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ariana Grande officially announced her eighth studio album *petal* (stylized lowercase) on April 28, 2026, locking in a July 31 release through her Babydoll Music imprint and Republic Records. The project, recorded earlier this year and executive produced with frequent collaborator ILYA, already has pre-saves live on major platforms, physical pre-orders available, and a lead single—“Hate That I Made You Love Me”—that dropped May 29. Grande has described the 12-track set as a “feral” creative reset while continuing her Eternal Sunshine Tour, which began in early June. With no reported delays, shifting dates, or production setbacks in the past month, market-implied odds reflect strong trader confidence that the album will meet its confirmed timeline. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing tour dates and any final promotional drops.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,465
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ariana Grande officially announced her eighth studio album *petal* (stylized lowercase) on April 28, 2026, locking in a July 31 release through her Babydoll Music imprint and Republic Records. The project, recorded earlier this year and executive produced with frequent collaborator ILYA, already has pre-saves live on major platforms, physical pre-orders available, and a lead single—“Hate That I Made You Love Me”—that dropped May 29. Grande has described the 12-track set as a “feral” creative reset while continuing her Eternal Sunshine Tour, which began in early June. With no reported delays, shifting dates, or production setbacks in the past month, market-implied odds reflect strong trader confidence that the album will meet its confirmed timeline. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing tour dates and any final promotional drops.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,465
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "August 31" di 98%, diikuti oleh "July 31" di 89%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 30, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?" adalah "August 31" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "July 31" di 89%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.